NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	8.2 [248]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +44.9%
Brooklyn Nets	118		Comeback	2.2 [541]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (WAS): -19.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	-0.02	0.01	20	70%	0.20	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	91%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.08	0.02	12	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	17	55%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anzejs Pasecniks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Jerome Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Isaac Bonga	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	9	26%	-0.08	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.25	0.20	0.00	13	93%	0.49	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.13	0.01	25	54%	0.25	1	-0.01	13	77%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.04	-0.00	10	73%	0.22	1	-0.01	10	100%	0.06
Chris Chiozza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	87%	0.19	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	36%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	7	12%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	28.5	15.2	31.6	2.7	36.2	144.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +21.9%

BKN +12.2%

BKN +8.6%

BKN +7.8%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	14.2	108.9	118.0	109.6
season	13.7	14.1		109.8	108.0
opponent	14.1	14.0		109.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.8	15.0	11.6	14.0	14.2
BKN	13.2	14.4	14.6	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anzejs Pasecniks	9	8	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.05	4	-12	16	9.8	14.7	-4.90	15.7	14.3	1.45
Rui Hachimura	69	67	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-8	8	14.0	14.8	-0.84	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Troy Brown Jr.	79	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.24	5	-13	18	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.1	12.1	2.99
Ish Smith	64	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	12.7	16.9	-4.27	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Moritz Wagner	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	3	-14	16.1	13.9	2.15	11.7	14.9	-3.24
Shabazz Napier	48	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-11	14	15.6	13.0	2.68	15.1	13.7	1.44
Thomas Bryant	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-9	10	14.4	13.7	0.73	15.0	12.7	2.27
Isaac Bonga	54	54	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	1	-10	15.3	13.0	2.28	13.6	15.3	-1.72
Jerian Grant	33	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.22	-10	2	-12	14.7	14.0	0.64	14.1	14.6	-0.49
Jerome Robinson	59	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.11	-19	11	-30	13.9	14.7	-0.82	14.0	15.0	-1.07

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Harris	80	78	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-6	20	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Garrett Temple	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	14.0	15.1	-1.15	13.2	15.9	-2.66
Tyler Johnson	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	8	-8	15.4	13.1	2.25	14.7	13.6	1.18
Jarrett Allen	76	78	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	9	-10	14.8	13.3	1.48	14.8	12.4	2.39
Caris LeVert	79	80	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	7	-6	14.8	13.1	1.62	14.7	12.3	2.46
Rodions Kurucs	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	-3	14	13.1	15.2	-2.08	13.8	14.5	-0.63
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	43	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	6	-4	14.1	14.6	-0.49	12.9	15.3	-2.43
Lance Thomas	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	15	-22	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.6	13.9	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.85,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%
CHI 95, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.98,1,1	92.4%
BOS 98, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.3%