NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	7.9 [250]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +13.4%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	2.4 [390]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -21.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	79%	0.24	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	8	55%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	5	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	16	54%	0.00	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.21,-0.12,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	20	46%	-0.04	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	17	59%	0.25	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	17	60%	0.21	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.13	0.01	15	50%	-0.03	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	24.2	16.4	23.3	1.7	36.2	130.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.1%

UTA -1.0%

CHI +30.9%

CHI +3.5%

UTA -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.7	13.5	15.5	103.2	110.4	106.4
season	15.3	14.8		107.7	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.0		107.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.7	18.8	15.7	16.7
CHI	12.5	13.9	15.5	12.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	49	50	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-10	12	17.0	16.3	0.74	14.0	12.9	1.07
Kosta Koufos	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	1.0	16.9	-15.85	18.0	13.4	4.56
Ronnie Price	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	1.0	16.9	-15.85	18.0	13.4	4.56
Kyle Korver	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-6	4	16.9	16.5	0.40	13.7	13.4	0.33
Matt Harpring	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	16.7	16.7	0.01	15.5	13.2	2.28
Brevin Knight	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	17.4	16.4	1.06	12.7	13.8	-1.14
Mehmet Okur	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-4	0	16.7	16.8	-0.12	13.4	13.8	-0.37
Deron Williams	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	16.6	16.9	-0.25	13.8	12.9	0.90
CJ Miles	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	16.6	16.9	-0.29	13.4	13.7	-0.25
Paul Millsap	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	-5	2	16.6	17.0	-0.34	13.9	11.9	2.09
Andrei Kirilenko	60	61	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.19	-18	10	-28	16.7	16.6	0.09	12.0	16.0	-3.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	66	65	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.16	19	-11	30	12.9	14.9	-2.00	16.7	16.6	0.07
Andres Nocioni	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	13.5	13.2	0.27	16.7	16.4	0.31
Derrick Rose	63	62	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	3	2	13.4	13.6	-0.13	16.2	17.6	-1.37
Thabo Sefolosha	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-3	14	12.6	15.7	-3.08	16.9	16.1	0.84
Ben Gordon	72	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	4	0	13.5	13.6	-0.12	16.9	16.1	0.73
Lindsey Hunter	13	12	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	10	-12	15.8	13.1	2.73	15.2	16.9	-1.74
Luol Deng	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.4	0.23	17.0	16.3	0.67
Aaron Gray	24	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.5	12.8	2.74	16.3	16.8	-0.56
Joakim Noah	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	14	-20	13.9	13.2	0.77	16.9	16.5	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.76,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	93.2%
PHX 96, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.87,1	92.4%
NOP 81, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,1	90.9%