NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	8.5 [196]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +19.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	4.6 [616]		LVP	Miles Plumlee (PHX): -18.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dionte Christmas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	70%	0.19	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	63%	0.16	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	17	57%	0.20	8	-0.20	12	83%	0.06
Viacheslav Kravtsov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.08	0.03	19	65%	0.29	3	-0.10	13	85%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	82%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	12	36%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	16	46%	0.04	4	-0.10	14	79%	0.05
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	31.2	15.7	29.4	2.6	36.3	142.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -11.3%

OKC +23.5%

OKC +5.9%

OKC +34.7%

PHX -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	15.1	95.0	100.0	105.2
season	14.7	14.4		107.7	107.8
opponent	15.4	14.9		102.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	15.6	13.1	15.8	14.8
OKC	14.1	15.0	13.1	11.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	38	40	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.08	-2	-5	3	15.2	14.5	0.76	13.6	13.4	0.27
Ish Smith	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	8.6	15.2	-6.65	14.4	13.4	1.01
Goran Dragic	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.1	13.1	1.02
Channing Frye	71	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-15	23	14.2	16.0	-1.76	13.8	12.6	1.20
Viacheslav Kravtsov	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.1	14.7	0.38	13.8	13.5	0.35
Dionte Christmas	12	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	20.7	14.0	6.70	11.3	13.7	-2.48
Marcus Morris	39	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	3	-13	14.7	14.8	-0.16	13.2	13.7	-0.53
Eric Bledsoe	83	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-6	5	15.3	12.4	2.89	13.5	13.3	0.18
Miles Plumlee	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	15.0	14.5	0.54	13.8	13.2	0.53
PJ Tucker	85	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-4	1	14.0	18.8	-4.81	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Gerald Green	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	14.4	15.6	-1.20	13.0	14.6	-1.62

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	43	43	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-7	21	12.5	14.2	-1.71	15.6	14.1	1.47
Reggie Jackson	59	58	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-5	17	13.7	13.1	0.61	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Kevin Durant	89	86	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	4	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.93	14.0	19.1	-5.13
Russell Westbrook	73	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	6	-5	13.3	14.0	-0.68	14.4	15.6	-1.27
Serge Ibaka	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	13.4	13.5	-0.11	14.3	15.3	-1.04
Nick Collison	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	13.0	13.8	-0.87	15.3	14.3	1.02
Perry Jones	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	1	5	13.2	13.5	-0.34	16.9	14.2	2.67
Jeremy Lamb	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	3	1	13.9	13.3	0.66	15.4	14.5	0.90
Kendrick Perkins	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	14.3	13.1	1.15	15.6	14.4	1.21
Thabo Sefolosha	51	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.00	-6	13	-19	13.6	13.4	0.16	14.8	14.7	0.14
Steven Adams	19	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	14	-21	15.5	13.0	2.50	12.9	15.1	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.54,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.98,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.4%
CHH 95, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.76,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	91.0%
PHX 76, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1	90.9%