NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	9.1 [162]		MVP	Mychal Mulder (GSW): +44.8%
Golden State Warriors	118		Comeback	6.5 [181]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): -14.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.41,0.41	0.01	0.36	-0.03	23	49%	0.58	2	-0.17	3	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson III	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.00	5	100%	0.23	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Alec Burks	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	92%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,-0.04	0.07	-0.10	-0.00	16	65%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Mike Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.00	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.13	0.06	-0.19	0.00	10	58%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mychal Mulder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.45	0.45	0.12	0.33	0.00	10	69%	0.45	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.00	12	74%	0.39	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.11
Damion Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.22	0.00	17	69%	0.39	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.03
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	4	125%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	9	68%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	10	37%	-0.13	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	26.6	15.3	25.3	3.7	37.5	139.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.2%

GSW +21.2%

PHI -27.6%

GSW +21.7%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	16.9	13.9	14.2	121.3	126.9	109.6
season	14.8	14.1		110.0	103.9
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	17.2	19.6	16.9	16.9
GSW	13.1	14.8	16.4	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	33	31	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.05	6	-10	16	17.9	16.3	1.63	15.5	13.1	2.42
Alec Burks	39	37	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.14	2	-6	8	15.3	18.0	-2.78	12.4	14.9	-2.49
Raul Neto	40	39	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-6	8	14.7	18.5	-3.80	12.3	15.0	-2.70
Furkan Korkmaz	49	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	15.9	18.0	-2.10	13.1	14.9	-1.74
Al Horford	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.7	17.6	-0.90	13.8	14.3	-0.59
Shake Milton	54	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	2	-8	18.5	14.7	3.80	15.0	12.3	2.70
Mike Scott	63	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	3	-10	17.9	14.9	3.00	14.6	12.6	2.00
Tobias Harris	65	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	3	-10	17.9	14.7	3.17	14.6	12.4	2.21
Glenn Robinson III	56	57	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.49	-9	5	-14	16.3	17.7	-1.43	13.4	14.7	-1.34

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	62	61	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-4	12	12.5	16.6	-4.11	16.1	18.4	-2.33
Marquese Chriss	59	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-8	20	14.8	12.3	2.58	17.9	15.0	2.95
Andrew Wiggins	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-4	12	13.6	15.0	-1.38	17.2	15.8	1.44
Mychal Mulder	57	59	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-11	26	15.0	12.1	2.88	17.9	15.2	2.68
Damion Lee	62	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.45	1	3	-2	14.8	12.1	2.71	17.3	16.0	1.27
Juan Toscano-Anderson	49	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.24	1	3	-2	15.0	12.7	2.28	17.9	15.7	2.20
Chasson Randle	31	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.04	-10	14	-24	12.4	14.6	-2.23	14.2	18.1	-3.89
Dragan Bender	30	28	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.03	-10	14	-24	12.6	14.5	-1.92	14.8	17.8	-2.99
Jordan Poole	41	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.13	-5	9	-14	13.0	14.6	-1.62	16.1	17.6	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	92.6%
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	92.5%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	92.1%