NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	4.8 [807]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +18.2%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.7 [847]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -12.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	6	87%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Warren	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	21	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	14	34%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.02	0.07	16	57%	0.03	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.05	11	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	19	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	28.6	14.7	26.2	2.5	40.3	137.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +16.3%

IND +5.3%

IND +23.7%

IND +4.7%

IND +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	14.8	14.2	106.0	98.0	109.6
season	14.4	14.5		108.7	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	12.4	13.7	14.9	14.0
NYK	14.0	17.0	16.3	12.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	65	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-9	26	14.0	14.0	-0.06	15.0	14.6	0.38
T.J. Warren	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-2	12	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Malcolm Brogdon	73	73	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-3	14	13.8	14.4	-0.57	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Victor Oladipo	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-8	24	13.7	14.4	-0.70	15.7	13.8	1.92
Domantas Sabonis	76	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	1	6	14.2	13.4	0.75	15.3	13.2	2.12
Justin Holiday	53	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	11	-14	13.5	14.5	-0.98	13.7	16.1	-2.36
T.J. McConnell	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	11	-14	14.2	13.9	0.25	15.1	14.7	0.41
Jeremy Lamb	45	47	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	18	-28	14.7	13.4	1.23	14.3	15.2	-0.89
Doug McDermott	28	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.10	-5	13	-18	14.4	13.8	0.56	14.9	14.8	0.11

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Knox II	38	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	13.4	15.7	-2.28	13.9	14.1	-0.20
Mitchell Robinson	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-12	16	14.3	15.1	-0.78	16.0	13.0	3.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-5	2	15.6	14.5	1.08	14.2	13.9	0.29
Reggie Bullock	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-5	2	16.9	13.6	3.30	12.9	14.7	-1.81
Bobby Portis	54	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-18	28	14.6	15.0	-0.39	15.1	12.6	2.57
Maurice Harkless	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	0	-8	15.2	14.6	0.64	14.1	13.9	0.24
Damyean Dotson	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.3	15.3	-1.04	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Taj Gibson	33	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	6	-20	16.2	14.1	2.09	13.1	14.4	-1.39
Julius Randle	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	2	-12	14.6	15.1	-0.47	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Frank Ntilikina	70	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-3	-2	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.9	14.2	-0.29
RJ Barrett	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.82	13.7	14.5	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.18,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
UTA 107, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 90, BOS 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%