inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 135 Excitement11.3 [35] MVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): +28.1%
Atlanta Hawks 140 Comeback302.0 [10] LVPElfrid Payton (NYK): -37.4%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.120.13-0.01879%0.2600.00333%-0.05
Reggie Bullock0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.030.011858%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Bobby Portis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.011158%0.041-0.012100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.10-0.060.031075%0.081-0.0700%0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01636%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Frank Ntilikina-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.00845%-0.001-0.01475%-0.00
Taj Gibson-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.00367%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Knox II-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.03530%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Julius Randle-0.110,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12,-0.110.02-0.17-0.032556%0.086-0.191275%0.04
Elfrid Payton-0.370,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.3,-0.37-0.11-0.28-0.011440%-0.114-0.262100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.28,0.280.280.100.17-0.021558%0.2800.00367%-0.01
John Collins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.210.080.021968%0.2800.00978%-0.01
Trae Young0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.17,0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.140.140.150.270.283063%0.537-0.3816100%0.24
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brandon Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damian Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Huerter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03-0.030.03-0.06-0.001357%0.042-0.072100%0.01
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.09-0.240.021240%-0.144-0.221100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game20.62.332.715.325.72.532.92.514.22.622.5173.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +21.5%
ATL +28.7%
NYK -5.6%
NYK -7.6%
ATL +13.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKATLNBANYKATLNBA
this game14.614.114.2111.6114.8109.6
season14.513.8105.4106.6
opponent14.014.4113.9111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NYK13.914.514.814.514.514.4
ATL14.313.812.316.712.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
RJ Barrett4444-0.07-0.430.350.01-3-2-115.114.20.9015.413.32.11
Dennis Smith Jr.1616-0.11-0.390.280.10-72-916.014.31.6613.214.2-1.03
Frank Ntilikina5655-0.12-0.380.26-0.4210-152513.615.4-1.8814.214.00.15
Julius Randle9696-0.17-0.330.16-0.387-121914.415.2-0.8514.512.71.81
Wayne Ellington6364-0.20-0.300.11-0.200-5514.814.30.4514.813.31.54
Mitchell Robinson7276-0.20-0.300.09-0.355-101514.215.1-0.8714.213.80.41
Bobby Portis4040-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-50-514.414.6-0.2413.514.4-0.87
Kevin Knox II2728-0.25-0.250.000.02-94-1315.114.40.6613.514.2-0.71
Taj Gibson3432-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-1712-2916.014.02.0013.314.4-1.09
Reggie Bullock8080-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.29-2-3114.415.0-0.5913.515.2-1.73
Elfrid Payton7779-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.36-4-1-314.514.6-0.1213.714.9-1.20

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Teague56580.59-0.090.670.5614-314.413.80.5113.615.4-1.81
Kevin Huerter98980.56-0.060.620.4150514.213.40.8314.913.11.77
Trae Young1021010.55-0.050.600.2610-51513.815.6-1.8814.713.70.97
John Collins1041040.53-0.030.560.269-41313.815.6-1.7314.614.20.45
De'Andre Hunter92890.380.120.250.3514-314.313.40.8614.614.40.17
Bruno Fernando17190.200.30-0.090.0650516.913.63.3213.414.8-1.35
Damian Jones3332-0.010.51-0.51-0.0932113.514.3-0.8615.114.40.77
Treveon Graham1413-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-714.014.1-0.0914.214.6-0.46
Vince Carter65-0.030.53-0.550.00-16-711.214.2-3.0714.814.60.25
Brandon Goodwin99-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-38-1114.614.00.5114.614.6-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon6866-0.160.66-0.82-0.04-49-1314.213.90.2814.614.50.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.54,0.46,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.96,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 116, NJN 1270.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.72,0.46,0.2,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.98,0.99,186.0%
POR 111, DET 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.72,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.28,084.0%
HOU 99, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.56,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.97,0.99,184.0%