NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	100		Excitement	3.2 [1032]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +17.4%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	2.0 [676]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -9.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	12	83%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	20	58%	0.06	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Damian Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Brown Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Treveon Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	2	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	40%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.00	-0.00	13	73%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.01	0.03	9	90%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	22	60%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.04	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.01	0.09	10	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antonius Cleveland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0.04	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	12	29%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	23.4	15.4	24.9	1.8	28.3	122.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.0%

DAL +5.8%

ATL -0.1%

DAL +4.9%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.0	14.2	99.0	123.0	109.6
season	13.8	14.5		106.6	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.0		111.3	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	13.0	15.7	12.1	13.6
DAL	13.9	16.5	13.6	16.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Brown Jr.	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	9.7	14.0	-4.23	13.7	15.1	-1.38
Cam Reddish	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.04	-4	-19	15	15.0	13.4	1.59	12.8	15.4	-2.63
Treveon Graham	44	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-22	21	12.5	14.5	-2.03	15.9	14.4	1.44
Brandon Goodwin	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-14	5	12.8	14.6	-1.75	15.6	14.3	1.32
Vince Carter	48	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.46	-25	2	-27	14.2	13.2	1.00	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Jeff Teague	62	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-6	-11	13.9	13.3	0.63	15.2	14.7	0.45
John Collins	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-13	3	13.2	14.7	-1.55	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Damian Jones	65	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-8	-7	14.0	12.9	1.09	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Trae Young	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-10	-3	14.2	13.0	1.24	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Kevin Huerter	83	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.25	-22	-1	-21	14.1	11.3	2.81	15.3	13.8	1.45

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	4	15	14.3	15.6	-1.25	13.8	13.5	0.24
Maxi Kleber	62	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.30	24	-1	25	14.8	15.3	-0.52	14.0	13.1	0.89
Delon Wright	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.20	18	5	13	15.0	15.1	-0.14	13.7	13.5	0.20
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.22	18	5	13	14.6	15.6	-1.01	14.2	12.8	1.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	9	5	15.4	14.6	0.76	13.6	13.7	-0.15
Ryan Broekhoff	47	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	10	3	14.8	15.2	-0.48	13.5	13.7	-0.21
Willie Cauley-Stein	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	22	-21	14.7	15.4	-0.73	13.9	13.3	0.66
Justin Jackson	56	55	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	20	-17	15.9	13.9	1.94	12.6	14.9	-2.33
Jalen Brunson	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	19	-15	15.6	14.2	1.38	13.5	13.9	-0.43
Antonius Cleveland	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	15.0	15.0	-0.02	12.7	13.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 77, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 88, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 95, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%