NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	10.3 [70]		MVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): +42.2%
Detroit Pistons	112		Comeback	17.9 [45]		LVP	Christian Wood (DET): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42	0.21	0.20	-0.01	20	76%	0.49	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.10
Darius Garland	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	14	67%	0.26	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.33,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.35,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.13	3	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.02	-0.10	0.01	19	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.13	4	25%	-0.04

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	14	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.00	24	53%	-0.00	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.12	-0.01	24	55%	0.17	6	-0.30	1	100%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.5	2.5	31.5	5.8	24.3	2.6	32.8	2.7	14.7	147.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.9%

CLE +24.5%

CLE +14.4%

DET -2.5%

DET -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	14.2	111.7	108.7	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		106.3	108.3
opponent	14.2	13.8		111.7	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.7	17.4	16.4	16.0	14.1	15.9
DET	13.1	16.9	15.7	15.2	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	87	86	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-7	17	15.8	16.3	-0.54	15.5	12.4	3.12
Collin Sexton	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	15.4	17.1	-1.67	15.4	13.9	1.58
Darius Garland	81	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	4	-5	16.0	15.4	0.57	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Alfonzo McKinnie	29	27	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	-2	7	16.1	15.7	0.39	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Cedi Osman	79	81	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.48	-7	10	-17	15.1	18.2	-3.12	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Kevin Love	72	74	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	3	-3	16.2	15.1	1.13	15.1	14.7	0.46
Matthew Dellavedova	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	-2	7	16.9	15.5	1.43	16.7	14.5	2.19
Brandon Knight	48	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	-3	9	16.3	15.5	0.78	13.7	16.1	-2.34
Ante Zizic	16	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	10	-17	16.3	15.8	0.54	13.2	15.4	-2.17

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sekou Doumbouya	37	38	0.45	-0.95	1.41	0.22	8	-11	19	15.8	14.6	1.28	16.1	15.7	0.36
Tony Snell	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-8	13	14.7	15.5	-0.77	15.5	16.4	-0.97
Thon Maker	53	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-6	9	14.0	16.1	-2.18	16.3	15.4	0.90
Christian Wood	29	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	5	-13	14.7	15.1	-0.46	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Langston Galloway	36	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	0	-3	14.4	15.3	-0.93	16.2	15.7	0.48
Svi Mykhailiuk	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	2	-7	15.4	14.5	0.90	15.7	16.0	-0.35
Derrick Rose	70	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.46	1	-4	5	14.1	16.9	-2.78	15.5	16.7	-1.27
Bruce Brown	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	4	-11	15.9	13.1	2.84	15.9	15.6	0.30
Andre Drummond	92	93	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	3	-9	15.7	9.7	5.92	16.2	12.6	3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.73,0	89.4%
SAC 107, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.71,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.57,0.42,0	88.6%
TOR 100, GSW 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.28,0	88.5%