NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	7.3 [388]		MVP	Ish Smith (WAS): +26.5%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.0 [313]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	82%	0.15	2	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Daniel Theis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.05	20	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	22	45%	0.03	4	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Marcus Smart	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	14	39%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Brad Wanamaker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	11	42%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.02	18	67%	0.37	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Admiral Schofield	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anzejs Pasecniks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	24	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	28.1	14.7	28.3	2.4	29.8	130.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +68.0%

BOS -18.3%

BOS -15.2%

WAS +15.2%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	14.2	93.1	98.0	109.6
season	14.5	13.7		112.0	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.4		114.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	16.0	14.2	13.0	14.5
WAS	13.7	14.0	13.0	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremont Waters	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-6	7	16.2	14.2	1.96	10.8	14.6	-3.85
Semi Ojeleye	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	17.7	14.2	3.43	12.2	14.1	-1.87
Javonte Green	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-3	1	13.1	14.7	-1.60	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Carsen Edwards	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	15.1	14.5	0.61	13.2	14.1	-0.94
Daniel Theis	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-6	7	15.6	13.8	1.81	14.2	13.8	0.42
Enes Kanter	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.1	14.1	1.00	13.0	14.7	-1.66
Brad Wanamaker	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	0	-5	15.6	14.1	1.55	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Gordon Hayward	81	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-3	1	14.6	14.3	0.24	14.1	13.6	0.49
Marcus Smart	72	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-5	5	14.2	15.5	-1.32	14.2	13.4	0.83
Grant Williams	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-6	7	13.5	15.7	-2.17	14.1	13.8	0.26
Jayson Tatum	63	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.4	-1.36	14.6	12.9	1.62
Jaylen Brown	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	14.0	15.8	-1.87	14.7	12.2	2.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McRae	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	13.9	14.3	-0.41	14.1	16.4	-2.31
Ish Smith	67	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-4	13	13.8	14.4	-0.58	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Anzejs Pasecniks	48	47	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-6	17	14.3	13.6	0.69	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Troy Brown Jr.	76	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	1	3	13.7	14.7	-0.94	14.1	16.2	-2.17
Isaac Bonga	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	14.4	13.2	1.15	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Ian Mahinmi	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	14.0	13.9	0.06	15.3	13.8	1.56
Isaiah Thomas	49	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	14.0	13.9	0.06	15.2	14.0	1.19
Garrison Mathews	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	3	-1	15.7	13.8	1.93	15.4	14.5	0.90
Admiral Schofield	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	11	-17	14.2	13.9	0.30	15.9	14.4	1.44
Gary Payton II	52	53	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	16	-27	13.5	14.5	-1.01	15.1	14.0	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.2%
BOS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.6%