NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	9.3 [143]		MVP	Chris Paul (OKC): +22.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	14.2 [98]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -13.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Justin Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.09	0.03	8	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.03	13	35%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.24,-0.09	0.07	-0.15	0.01	29	50%	0.16	2	-0.24	12	67%	-0.03
Delon Wright	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	7	41%	0.02	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	30%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.16,-0.18,0.03,0.22	0.22	-0.03	0.25	0.00	15	53%	0.34	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	14	67%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.04
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	17	53%	0.17	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.07
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.0	29.1	15.3	28.6	1.8	35.2	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +17.3%

OKC +9.4%

OKC +2.2%

OKC +19.7%

OKC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	OKC	NBA	DAL	OKC	NBA
this game	16.0	13.7	14.2	103.1	110.4	109.6
season	14.5	14.3		115.2	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		107.6	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	15.8	15.3	19.3	16.0
OKC	15.0	12.3	15.3	12.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	23	22	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-13	21	13.3	16.8	-3.52	14.0	13.6	0.43
Justin Jackson	37	35	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-8	11	15.4	16.3	-0.91	12.6	14.3	-1.63
Jalen Brunson	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	2	-9	15.6	16.4	-0.82	13.9	13.4	0.50
Dwight Powell	60	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	5	-15	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.0	13.1	0.93
Delon Wright	51	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	17.3	14.6	2.74	13.2	14.2	-0.99
Luka Doncic	82	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-6	7	15.5	18.7	-3.21	14.2	11.2	2.95
Seth Curry	54	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	16.7	15.1	1.57	12.5	15.0	-2.50
Maxi Kleber	72	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	3	-11	16.4	14.8	1.62	13.9	13.1	0.77
Dorian Finney-Smith	63	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.39	-10	5	-15	16.1	15.8	0.36	14.0	13.0	1.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	73	74	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.38	17	-12	29	13.4	14.6	-1.18	16.3	15.2	1.10
Danilo Gallinari	60	60	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-10	25	14.2	12.7	1.56	16.5	15.1	1.42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	69	70	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	1	3	14.1	12.5	1.65	16.0	16.1	-0.15
Dennis Schroder	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	13.2	14.5	-1.30	14.9	18.2	-3.38
Steven Adams	49	50	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	2	1	12.3	15.1	-2.82	18.1	13.8	4.33
Deonte Burton	3	4	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	-1	7	6.3	13.9	-7.57	20.5	15.8	4.69
Nerlens Noel	47	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	3	-1	15.1	12.3	2.82	13.8	18.1	-4.33
Terrance Ferguson	32	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	14.7	13.2	1.53	17.8	15.1	2.65
Abdel Nader	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	8	-11	12.4	13.9	-1.50	18.9	15.4	3.44
Hamidou Diallo	41	42	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	13.4	13.9	-0.48	15.1	16.7	-1.58
Darius Bazley	27	28	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.06	-15	20	-35	13.7	13.7	0.05	13.9	16.9	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	90.8%
LAC 108, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1	89.8%
MIL 91, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,1	89.7%