inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 113 Excitement9.0 [176] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +64.5%
Phoenix Suns 111 Comeback13.6 [143] LVPPaul Millsap (DEN): -12.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.650,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.650.120.540.021974%0.764-0.1200%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.290,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.290.110.190.011369%0.352-0.056100%0.08
Jerami Grant0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.10-0.01658%0.1700.00757%-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011150%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Monte Morris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.040.02667%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.030.02675%0.052-0.0800%0.00
Malik Beasley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.01750%0.033-0.1000%0.00
Mason Plumlee-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.00250%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Will Barton-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.00-0.12-0.011159%0.113-0.2300%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13-0.01-0.100.01762%-0.053-0.082100%0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cameron Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.070.080.00669%0.1500.00450%-0.02
Jevon Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.002125%0.1000.0000%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.021157%0.0500.0010%-0.01
Ricky Rubio0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.011284%0.256-0.211100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.05-0.011148%0.093-0.061100%0.00
Devin Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,0.020.02-0.060.080.001239%0.092-0.074100%0.03
Elie Okobo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.02681%0.123-0.13475%-0.00
Mikal Bridges0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01-0.010.08-0.090.00967%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.021640%0.042-0.093100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.524.515.325.42.334.5130.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +55.6%
DEN +3.2%
DEN +9.1%
PHX -17.6%
PHX -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHXNBADENPHXNBA
this game14.613.814.2110.8109.9109.6
season15.014.1112.0110.9
opponent14.114.5110.2110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.014.015.613.714.6
PHX14.414.213.813.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic64651.30-0.802.100.5625-234814.215.2-0.9514.412.81.61
Paul Millsap58591.12-0.621.740.5121-194014.215.0-0.7814.113.40.78
Gary Harris73740.87-0.371.230.4813-112414.814.00.8314.013.30.70
Will Barton72730.74-0.240.980.3314-122614.215.3-1.1013.913.60.33
Jamal Murray75740.68-0.180.850.506-41014.813.90.9113.514.6-1.02
Michael Porter Jr.13120.060.44-0.380.0311015.414.40.9514.913.71.25
Monte Morris2627-0.270.77-1.04-0.15-46-1014.414.6-0.1814.613.51.02
Jerami Grant4542-0.531.03-1.560.03-1921-4014.714.50.1913.414.1-0.78
Malik Beasley4643-0.671.17-1.840.04-2426-5014.514.6-0.1913.014.4-1.37
Mason Plumlee3836-0.801.30-2.10-0.12-2325-4815.214.20.9512.814.4-1.61

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cameron Johnson40430.79-1.292.080.3515-173213.514.0-0.5614.714.50.16
Jevon Carter30320.26-0.761.02-0.1213-152812.414.4-2.0114.314.7-0.40
Ty Jerome910-0.04-0.460.43-0.061-3414.713.70.9415.514.51.04
Elie Okobo55-0.16-0.340.180.11-97-1616.813.73.1415.814.51.31
Frank Kaminsky3738-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-20-213.614.0-0.3915.214.20.95
Dario Saric3433-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-1311-2415.013.21.7515.014.40.61
Aron Baynes6464-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.300-2214.013.60.3914.215.2-0.95
Mikal Bridges6260-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.628-101813.015.1-2.0614.814.10.71
Ricky Rubio7372-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.47-1-1014.113.11.0214.315.2-0.86
Kelly Oubre Jr.8080-0.840.34-1.17-0.34-1715-3214.112.71.4514.116.3-2.19
Devin Booker7173-0.840.34-1.18-0.70-53-813.813.9-0.0814.814.10.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.57,0.59,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 80, UTA 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,090.2%
CLE 89, NYK 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.27,089.9%
CLE 102, PHI 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.42,089.9%