NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	9.5 [100]		MVP	Channing Frye (CLE): +41.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	4.8 [522]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -51.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.41,0.41	0.08	0.30	-0.03	9	67%	0.41	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	7	69%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	16	57%	0.09	2	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	23	47%	-0.02	5	-0.17	7	86%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.51	-0.24	-0.27	0.00	17	22%	-0.29	4	-0.22	3	67%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.15	0.00	13	75%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	6	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	11	58%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.19	0.01	13	73%	0.28	6	-0.45	4	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	3	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	10	18%	-0.15	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.31	-0.31	0.01	-0.32	0.00	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.38	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	29.4	15.3	25.6	2.5	34.5	133.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -35.5%

CLE +14.1%

PHI -0.8%

CLE +72.8%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	14.2	14.8	100.0	99.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		113.5	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.7		107.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	12.9	14.5	15.6	14.0
PHI	15.1	14.8	13.8	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	75	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.48	11	-10	21	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.2	14.3	-0.08
JR Smith	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.73	-1	2	-3	14.7	12.6	2.13	13.7	15.2	-1.43
Kyrie Irving	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.65	-8	9	-17	14.4	13.0	1.43	13.7	15.7	-2.03
Tristan Thompson	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	0	1	14.9	12.5	2.45	13.6	15.2	-1.55
Channing Frye	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	1	-1	12.5	14.9	-2.45	15.2	13.6	1.55
Kevin Love	82	83	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	5	-9	14.1	13.6	0.44	13.8	16.2	-2.43
Mike Dunleavy	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.12	7	-6	13	11.7	14.9	-3.21	15.6	13.7	1.98
Iman Shumpert	53	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	5	-9	13.8	14.2	-0.43	15.0	13.4	1.67
Richard Jefferson	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.27	3	-2	5	14.0	14.0	0.05	15.3	13.8	1.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	36	38	0.77	-1.27	2.03	0.12	22	-23	45	14.4	14.1	0.28	14.7	13.6	1.17
Hollis Thompson	42	41	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.05	16	-17	33	14.3	14.2	0.05	15.2	13.2	2.04
Jahlil Okafor	48	47	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.17	10	-11	21	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.2	13.8	0.43
Nik Stauskas	39	38	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.20	5	-6	11	15.0	13.8	1.24	14.8	13.5	1.34
TJ McConnell	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.20	-3	2	-5	15.7	13.5	2.16	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Timothe Luwawu	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	17.6	13.9	3.64	10.2	14.4	-4.14
Sergio Rodriguez	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.67	2	-3	5	13.5	15.7	-2.16	14.3	13.4	0.93
Robert Covington	65	68	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.71	-5	4	-9	14.0	14.6	-0.52	13.5	15.0	-1.54
Joel Embiid	54	55	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.64	-11	10	-21	13.7	14.8	-1.09	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Gerald Henderson	54	52	-1.04	0.54	-1.57	-0.48	-19	18	-37	13.5	15.1	-1.60	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Ersan Ilyasova	61	60	-1.16	0.66	-1.82	-0.57	-20	19	-39	14.0	14.6	-0.59	13.9	14.1	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.37,0.25,0.36,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.27,0	90.0%
BOS 82, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0	88.8%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	88.7%