NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	8.3 [195]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +37.5%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	6.2 [80]		LVP	Mark Bryant (CLE): -32.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.37	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.37	0.17	0.23	0.02	14	83%	0.42	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	10	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	11	39%	-0.10	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.04
Mark Bryant	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	-0.01	12	29%	-0.21	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	-0.00	6	69%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.02	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	9	32%	-0.06	1	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,-0.04,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.01	-0.18	0.01	25	45%	-0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.17	-0.10	-0.01	14	34%	-0.13	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	29.4	16.4	29.6	2.5	33.0	137.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.7%

CLE +21.9%

CLE +15.1%

NYK -7.8%

NYK -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.2	95.7	91.5	101.7
season	14.1	16.1		98.0	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		98.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.2	15.0	13.9	16.8	15.2
NYK	17.5	13.8	16.1	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	72	71	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.52	14	-11	25	15.5	14.2	1.23	16.2	13.7	2.47
Shawn Kemp	55	55	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.56	11	-8	19	15.1	15.3	-0.16	16.3	14.7	1.56
Lamond Murray	64	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.62	1	2	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.47	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Bob Sura	61	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	15.1	15.3	-0.23	15.8	15.2	0.59
Brevin Knight	65	66	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-1	5	15.6	14.2	1.40	15.8	15.2	0.56
Cedric Henderson	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	0	3	13.4	15.9	-2.46	15.7	15.6	0.19
Kornel David	2	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	12.5	15.3	-2.75	10.0	15.8	-5.79
Andre Miller	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	4	-5	14.2	15.6	-1.40	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Wesley Person	36	35	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	7	-11	16.5	14.4	2.09	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Andrew DeClercq	43	44	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.15	-6	9	-15	14.5	15.8	-1.35	14.5	16.6	-2.17
Mark Hendrickson	13	14	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.14	-9	12	-21	17.8	14.8	3.08	15.6	15.6	-0.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	29	28	0.70	-1.20	1.90	-0.01	24	-27	51	12.6	17.0	-4.37	16.2	14.8	1.41
Kurt Thomas	31	30	0.56	-1.06	1.63	0.04	18	-21	39	13.5	16.6	-3.12	17.6	14.1	3.50
Chris Childs	32	32	0.07	-0.56	0.63	0.18	-4	1	-5	15.9	15.5	0.41	15.6	15.0	0.66
Marcus Camby	64	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.45	13	-16	29	14.3	18.5	-4.20	15.5	14.5	1.07
Chris Dudley	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	3	-9	14.8	15.7	-0.85	10.2	15.5	-5.28
Patrick Ewing	43	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	16	-35	17.8	13.7	4.07	14.5	15.8	-1.35
Allan Houston	84	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.1	1.69	15.0	16.5	-1.43
Charlie Ward	69	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	1	-5	15.1	16.9	-1.79	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Latrell Sprewell	54	54	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.34	-19	16	-35	16.8	14.0	2.84	15.2	15.2	0.02
Larry Johnson	59	59	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.50	-14	11	-25	17.2	13.0	4.15	14.8	15.9	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	91.0%
ORL 96, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.38,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.57,0	90.7%
CHI 93, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,0	90.7%