NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	121		Excitement	14.2 [3]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +76.2%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	20.8 [83]		LVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): -13.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.76	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.76	0.07	0.69	0.01	23	57%	0.93	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	0.00	8	76%	0.17	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Dejounte Murray	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	12	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jakob Poeltl	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	-0.00	2	62%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.08	-0.01	0.10	0.01	15	49%	0.17	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.27
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.19,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	18	44%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.10
Marco Belinelli	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.09	-0.00	10	37%	0.13	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.09
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	8	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.04	0.49	0.04	15	49%	0.49	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.32	0.32	0.06	0.23	-0.03	20	57%	0.46	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	-0.00	0.23	0.00	11	59%	0.32	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	19	54%	0.12	1	-0.05	3	0%	-0.05
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	26.8	14.7	30.8	1.8	34.4	2.6	16.1	155.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -14.6%

SAS +27.4%

SAS +18.0%

SAS +0.9%

SAS +18.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.3	13.8	14.2	102.5	101.7	109.6
season	14.1	14.1		110.8	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		110.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	12.5	13.7	12.0	14.6	14.6	13.3
PHX	14.7	12.0	14.1	14.8	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	18	19	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.69	12	-10	22	12.7	13.4	-0.69	14.5	13.6	0.91
Rudy Gay	72	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-10	22	12.8	14.1	-1.35	13.8	13.7	0.03
Jakob Poeltl	35	34	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-9	20	11.9	13.9	-1.98	14.7	13.4	1.33
Patty Mills	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-2	6	12.9	14.1	-1.22	12.7	15.6	-2.93
Derrick White	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-7	16	12.7	13.7	-0.99	12.9	14.4	-1.54
DeMar DeRozan	73	72	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	8	-14	13.9	12.4	1.46	13.9	13.5	0.41
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	83	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.34	-9	11	-20	13.9	11.9	1.98	13.4	14.7	-1.33
Lonnie Walker IV	49	49	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	12.8	13.7	-0.84	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Dejounte Murray	67	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	11	-20	13.8	12.7	1.06	14.6	12.7	1.85
Trey Lyles	36	37	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.06	-7	9	-16	13.9	13.0	0.84	14.1	13.6	0.47
Bryn Forbes	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	10	-18	14.6	12.8	1.81	15.3	13.2	2.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	73	71	0.63	-1.13	1.76	0.31	11	-13	24	13.9	13.5	0.49	13.4	13.2	0.12
Dario Saric	83	85	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	13.9	13.5	0.33	13.4	13.2	0.21
Kelly Oubre Jr.	89	90	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.49	9	-11	20	13.9	13.2	0.72	13.8	11.6	2.23
Elie Okobo	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	8	-18	13.5	13.9	-0.43	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Tyler Johnson	33	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	8	-18	13.5	13.9	-0.43	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Ricky Rubio	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-10	18	13.9	13.5	0.43	13.5	12.8	0.68
Mikal Bridges	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-1	0	13.3	14.5	-1.15	12.8	14.1	-1.23
Cameron Johnson	72	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.51	-7	5	-12	14.0	13.4	0.66	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Aron Baynes	44	47	-1.14	0.64	-1.78	-0.76	-13	11	-24	13.5	13.9	-0.49	13.2	13.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.33,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.35,0.47,0.69,0.72,0.05,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	86.9%
OKC 118, MIN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	86.6%
ATL 97, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.45,0.43,0	86.5%