NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	8.9 [180]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): +57.8%
Charlotte Hornets	114		Comeback	4.0 [261]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -22.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52	0.31	0.20	-0.00	18	84%	0.52	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	7	53%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Chris Chiozza	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Admiral Schofield	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	19	37%	-0.12	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.18	0.38	-0.02	19	66%	0.59	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.05
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.18	0.01	14	53%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	72%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	87%	0.18	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	14	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	13	54%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	31.2	14.8	25.1	1.7	40.2	141.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.7%

WAS -4.4%

CHA +11.9%

WAS -4.9%

CHA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.2	111.5	116.3	109.6
season	13.7	15.1		109.8	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.0		112.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	13.4	14.8	14.2	14.3
CHA	16.0	15.9	14.0	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Chiozza	26	27	0.66	-1.16	1.83	-0.10	26	-33	59	11.5	15.3	-3.73	18.4	14.3	4.07
Ian Mahinmi	40	42	0.41	-0.91	1.31	-0.03	15	-22	37	12.2	15.7	-3.49	16.8	14.4	2.39
Troy Brown Jr.	55	58	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-13	19	13.9	14.7	-0.82	15.7	15.1	0.58
Isaac Bonga	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-13	19	13.6	14.6	-0.96	15.5	15.4	0.12
Davis Bertans	58	61	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.46	17	-24	41	13.5	15.4	-1.96	16.5	13.6	2.84
Ish Smith	77	79	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.16	-21	14	-35	14.7	12.6	2.03	14.7	18.3	-3.53
Moritz Wagner	52	52	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.29	-18	11	-29	15.7	12.6	3.04	14.1	17.0	-2.90
Rui Hachimura	66	66	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.16	-30	23	-53	15.0	12.7	2.22	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Bradley Beal	75	75	-1.24	0.74	-1.98	-0.19	-36	29	-65	15.4	10.1	5.33	14.4	18.8	-4.45

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	69	70	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.54	18	-11	29	15.2	15.8	-0.58	14.8	12.7	2.15
P.J. Washington	81	81	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.17	29	-22	51	14.9	17.9	-2.98	15.0	10.5	4.42
Terry Rozier	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-8	23	14.7	18.3	-3.62	14.4	13.5	0.92
Cody Zeller	46	45	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	3	1	15.8	15.1	0.73	13.8	14.6	-0.82
Miles Bridges	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	9	-11	15.0	17.0	-1.99	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	33	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	4	-1	15.2	15.6	-0.40	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Bismack Biyombo	47	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.10	-1	8	-9	15.4	15.5	-0.11	14.6	14.0	0.62
Malik Monk	32	29	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.05	-13	20	-33	16.7	14.8	1.98	13.2	14.7	-1.51
Nicolas Batum	26	25	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.03	-18	25	-43	19.0	14.1	4.93	12.6	14.8	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.25,0.46,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 131, NOH 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.86,0.99,1	89.4%
MIN 87, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.9,1,1	89.2%
ATL 78, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.61,0.33,0.46,0.68,0.98,1	89.2%