NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	78		Excitement	7.6 [283]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +29.9%
Indiana Pacers	85		Comeback	2.9 [637]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -27.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	41%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	15	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	19	37%	-0.01	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	5	-0.25	4	75%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.16,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.06	0.24	-0.00	7	72%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.04	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	19	51%	0.02	3	-0.08	13	92%	0.11
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	45%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	5	17%	-0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	5	31%	-0.21	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	33.4	16.5	24.2	2.4	36.3	137.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -9.2%

IND +20.3%

IND +24.7%

IND +17.3%

ATL -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.7	83.0	89.5	100.5
season	15.3	16.7		98.2	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		94.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	15.7	15.5	14.9	15.1
IND	15.6	15.7	14.5	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	8	9	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.11	9	-16	25	16.5	15.0	1.51	19.6	14.9	4.64
Nazr Mohammed	27	28	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-14	21	16.9	14.4	2.43	17.4	14.5	2.89
Boris Diaw	46	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-8	9	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.8	14.9	0.85
Jacque Vaughn	16	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	2	-11	15.2	15.1	0.16	13.6	15.7	-2.16
Jason Terry	79	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	15.2	14.5	0.77	15.4	15.2	0.15
Dion Glover	65	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.1	-0.03	15.6	14.8	0.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.47	-8	1	-9	14.4	18.5	-4.09	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Stephen Jackson	73	74	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.33	-14	7	-21	14.7	16.5	-1.81	14.5	18.4	-3.88
Theo Ratliff	79	78	-0.97	0.47	-1.43	-0.41	-19	12	-31	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.0	16.8	-1.79

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	62	63	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.41	19	-12	31	14.6	16.8	-2.19	15.3	14.8	0.42
Jeff Foster	67	68	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.50	13	-6	19	15.2	15.6	-0.40	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Jermaine O'Neal	73	73	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.23	21	-14	35	14.8	17.3	-2.55	15.8	12.8	2.97
Reggie Miller	59	58	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-6	19	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.5	14.5	1.05
Metta World Peace	83	81	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.24	1	6	-5	15.2	16.7	-1.50	14.8	17.3	-2.54
Jonathan Bender	28	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	4	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.20	15.5	15.0	0.48
Fred Jones	22	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	10	-13	16.7	15.0	1.72	15.5	15.0	0.46
Austin Croshere	22	21	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	19	-31	17.1	14.8	2.26	12.9	15.8	-2.85
Scot Pollard	25	25	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.13	-10	17	-27	17.0	14.8	2.17	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Anthony Johnson	34	31	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.16	-10	17	-27	16.3	14.8	1.50	14.8	15.3	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.61,0.33,0.46,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.96,1	90.8%
LAC 101, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.9,0.95,1	90.7%
ORL 83, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	90.3%