NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	7.4 [277]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): +18.6%
Toronto Raptors	97		Comeback	2.1 [567]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -29.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	9	73%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.00	9	72%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	48%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	3	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.16	0.01	16	31%	-0.26	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.04	9	79%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	25	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.11	9	100%	0.05
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.8	41.2	15.0	25.0	1.4	35.6	140.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +59.2%

MIN -4.2%

MIN -16.4%

MIN -1.1%

TOR +12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.6	100.0	107.8	102.8
season	15.3	16.5		102.6	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.6	13.8	18.6	15.1	16.1
TOR	17.6	16.9	15.9	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	32	34	0.64	-1.14	1.77	0.02	21	-31	52	14.8	16.9	-2.06	17.3	15.9	1.35
Anthony Randolph	28	31	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.10	2	-12	14	13.4	17.4	-4.01	17.5	15.9	1.62
Anthony Tolliver	46	49	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.28	14	-24	38	14.6	17.8	-3.24	16.0	16.9	-0.93
Derrick Williams	54	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-17	24	15.0	18.0	-3.04	15.4	18.2	-2.82
Ricky Rubio	57	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-11	12	14.7	18.8	-4.15	15.8	17.6	-1.77
Darko Milicic	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	18.7	14.8	3.91	18.0	15.7	2.28
Wesley Johnson	31	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	19.1	14.5	4.63	17.5	15.8	1.72
Wayne Ellington	39	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	11	-32	17.8	14.7	3.04	17.0	16.0	1.04
Kevin Love	65	65	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.30	-20	10	-30	17.2	12.8	4.47	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Luke Ridnour	54	55	-1.14	0.64	-1.78	-0.23	-31	21	-52	16.6	15.4	1.21	15.9	17.2	-1.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	53	52	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.23	31	-21	52	16.5	16.4	0.07	17.7	13.7	4.02
Jose Calderon	73	73	1.06	-0.56	1.63	0.27	27	-17	44	16.2	17.5	-1.29	17.3	9.7	7.63
DeMar DeRozan	67	67	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.41	22	-12	34	16.4	16.5	-0.08	17.9	10.2	7.68
James Johnson	37	37	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	10	-10	15.2	17.3	-2.05	16.5	15.9	0.60
Andrea Bargnani	86	82	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	16.3	19.2	-2.96	16.2	14.2	2.03
Leandro Barbosa	44	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.20	4	6	-2	16.0	16.8	-0.74	13.4	18.6	-5.20
Rasual Butler	39	37	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.21	-4	14	-18	17.5	15.6	1.97	15.5	16.6	-1.14
Anthony Carter	17	14	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	-0.07	-17	27	-44	17.5	16.2	1.29	9.7	17.3	-7.63
Ed Davis	34	32	-0.65	1.15	-1.80	-0.00	-22	32	-54	17.3	15.9	1.35	13.4	17.7	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.96,1	91.3%
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.2%
ORL 80, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.77,0.95,1	90.5%