NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	119		Excitement	11.7 [27]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (HOU): +79.5%
Houston Rockets	118		Comeback	24.0 [41]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -27.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.74	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.74	0.03	0.73	0.02	14	57%	0.81	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.44	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.44	0.09	0.33	-0.01	19	68%	0.54	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.17,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	13	56%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Yogi Ferrell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04	0.11	-0.05	0.02	7	73%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.48,0.79	0.79	0.15	0.65	0.01	17	83%	0.95	6	-0.16	7	86%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.25	0.25	0.02	0.23	-0.00	13	46%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	6	72%	0.14	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Clemons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.02	-0.26	-0.01	19	59%	0.22	8	-0.49	8	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	24.8	14.0	37.0	1.8	30.2	137.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.0%

SAC +2.2%

HOU -21.6%

SAC +53.6%

SAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.7	12.9	14.2	119.0	115.7	109.6
season	14.3	13.4		109.0	111.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		108.9	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	15.1	16.0	17.0	15.7
HOU	12.7	13.7	12.8	12.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	71	73	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.54	7	-6	13	15.4	16.4	-1.03	12.8	13.2	-0.44
Buddy Hield	71	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-13	27	15.3	16.6	-1.32	12.5	13.8	-1.33
Nemanja Bjelica	60	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.85	-7	8	-15	16.6	14.1	2.50	13.1	12.5	0.60
Cory Joseph	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	15.5	16.0	-0.50	12.4	14.8	-2.37
Bogdan Bogdanovic	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.55	-5	6	-11	16.1	14.7	1.42	12.7	13.3	-0.69
Trevor Ariza	54	55	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	1	-1	14.7	16.8	-2.06	13.6	12.0	1.62
Yogi Ferrell	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	13	-25	15.8	15.6	0.23	14.3	12.5	1.88
Richaun Holmes	74	76	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.54	3	-2	5	15.8	15.2	0.62	12.9	12.8	0.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	69	69	0.64	-1.14	1.77	0.22	14	-15	29	12.9	12.9	-0.07	16.0	14.8	1.22
Chris Clemons	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-4	7	14.6	12.7	1.88	11.6	16.0	-4.38
Gary Clark	46	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-7	13	12.8	13.0	-0.20	15.7	15.6	0.07
P.J. Tucker	74	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	2	-5	13.1	12.4	0.69	15.9	15.0	0.96
Clint Capela	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	13.3	11.7	1.66	16.3	13.6	2.79
James Harden	86	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	5	-11	12.7	14.1	-1.39	15.3	17.7	-2.43
Russell Westbrook	78	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.58	1	-2	3	12.4	14.3	-1.88	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Danuel House Jr.	73	71	-1.31	0.81	-2.13	-0.76	-19	18	-37	12.9	12.9	-0.01	15.3	16.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.59,0	91.2%
GSW 104, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.27,0	91.1%
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	90.7%