NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	9.2 [157]		MVP	T.J. Warren (IND): +45.5%
Detroit Pistons	108		Comeback	3.7 [260]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.45	0.13	0.32	-0.00	18	67%	0.47	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	71%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.08
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	14	62%	0.12	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.03
T.J. McConnell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	8	21%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.18	0.00	17	54%	0.33	2	-0.07	12	67%	-0.07
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.12	-0.02	17	58%	0.27	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.03
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.15	-0.01	17	41%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.03	7	69%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	-0.00	8	79%	0.20	5	-0.25	3	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	29.2	14.8	25.4	2.4	34.6	132.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.4%

DET +3.9%

DET +47.2%

IND -22.0%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.2	104.1	111.3	109.6
season	14.4	15.1		108.7	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.7	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	14.7	14.2	13.2	13.9
DET	15.5	14.1	17.9	16.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	33	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	13.6	14.0	-0.33	15.2	16.1	-0.94
T.J. McConnell	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-5	3	12.9	14.2	-1.39	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Goga Bitadze	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.8	13.6	2.17	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Doug McDermott	34	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-4	1	13.4	14.1	-0.73	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Domantas Sabonis	72	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.39	5	-12	17	12.7	17.1	-4.40	16.0	15.3	0.67
Justin Holiday	52	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	14.1	13.6	0.48	15.3	16.4	-1.15
T.J. Warren	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	14.1	13.6	0.50	16.7	14.4	2.28
Myles Turner	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.2	2.30	16.2	14.9	1.37
Jeremy Lamb	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	14.4	12.7	1.68	16.2	15.1	1.06
Malcolm Brogdon	64	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	14.0	13.6	0.33	16.1	15.2	0.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	61	64	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.16	22	-15	37	16.4	14.9	1.46	14.0	13.5	0.52
Andre Drummond	81	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-10	27	16.0	14.8	1.22	14.0	13.0	1.02
Bruce Brown	46	44	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-4	15	16.6	15.1	1.51	14.5	13.3	1.14
Blake Griffin	65	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	16.3	14.9	1.39	13.9	13.7	0.18
Derrick Rose	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	10	-13	15.0	16.8	-1.80	13.3	14.6	-1.35
Langston Galloway	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	3	1	14.9	17.3	-2.41	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Christian Wood	35	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	4	-1	15.2	16.2	-0.95	13.4	14.1	-0.68
Tony Snell	52	49	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	10	-13	16.6	15.0	1.64	14.4	13.2	1.20
Thon Maker	13	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	15	-23	13.9	16.1	-2.21	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Svi Mykhailiuk	18	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	17	-27	15.2	16.0	-0.75	13.8	13.9	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 82, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.36,0.55,0.73,1	92.5%
SEA 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	92.1%
UTA 93, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.92,1	91.3%