NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	8.0 [289]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHX): +47.9%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	84.5 [27]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.48	0.10	0.38	0.00	17	56%	0.48	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Dario Saric	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	11	59%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Mikal Bridges	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Devin Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	62%	0.12	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.00	8	85%	0.42	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.08
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	65%	0.19	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	7	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.06
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	32%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.09
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.20	0.02	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	19	36%	-0.11	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	24.8	14.7	28.4	2.5	42.5	140.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.4%

CHA -1.1%

CHA -26.4%

PHX +38.4%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHA	NBA	PHX	CHA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.2	107.9	102.0	109.6
season	14.1	15.1		110.9	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.1		112.4	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.4	14.9	15.3	14.1	13.9
CHA	14.7	16.4	12.3	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	82	84	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-3	11	13.1	17.3	-4.23	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Kelly Oubre Jr.	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-6	17	13.9	14.0	-0.09	14.7	13.8	0.86
Ricky Rubio	74	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-1	7	14.1	13.4	0.65	15.0	13.1	1.83
Frank Kaminsky	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	2	1	14.7	12.1	2.62	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Dario Saric	64	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	-1	7	14.1	13.5	0.54	15.2	13.1	2.09
Cameron Johnson	25	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	9	-13	12.4	14.4	-1.92	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Ty Jerome	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	13.4	14.1	-0.65	13.1	15.0	-1.83
Mikal Bridges	66	65	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	13.4	14.8	-1.41	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Jevon Carter	19	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	8	-11	17.3	13.1	4.23	15.8	14.2	1.63

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	34	32	0.82	-1.32	2.13	0.35	16	-21	37	14.4	14.5	-0.07	15.1	13.3	1.77
Malik Monk	46	47	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-10	15	13.8	15.1	-1.29	14.6	13.3	1.26
Cody Zeller	41	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	13.8	15.0	-1.23	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Nicolas Batum	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.3	0.83	12.5	14.3	-1.86
Bismack Biyombo	53	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-3	1	15.2	13.7	1.53	14.7	13.0	1.67
Marvin Williams	67	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	14.3	14.9	-0.60	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Devonte' Graham	82	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.2	15.6	-1.38	14.0	13.3	0.75
P.J. Washington	40	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	1	-7	14.4	14.6	-0.19	13.3	14.3	-0.99
Terry Rozier	72	72	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.47	-11	6	-17	14.7	13.9	0.88	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Miles Bridges	51	51	-1.33	0.83	-2.17	-0.66	-23	18	-41	15.1	13.9	1.25	13.7	14.1	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.58,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.98,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 121, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.69,0.79,0.91,0.84,0	89.8%
LAL 99, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0	89.5%
GSW 93, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,0	88.7%