inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement8.6 [200] MVPBuddy Hield (SAC): +28.9%
Sacramento Kings 100 Comeback84.5 [14] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -40.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.170,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.170.180.040.051666%0.1700.00683%0.04
Jerami Grant0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.09-0.02960%0.1700.002100%0.01
Malik Beasley0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.01-0.00869%0.0900.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00462%0.042-0.04540%-0.04
Juancho Hernangomez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Paul Millsap-0.030,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.01450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Monte Morris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.11-0.031644%-0.072-0.042100%0.01
Nikola Jokic-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.150.01-0.011129%-0.034-0.11250%-0.06
Will Barton-0.400,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.4,-0.4-0.11-0.34-0.041544%-0.065-0.34250%-0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.290.290.010.26-0.022047%0.311-0.02580%0.03
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.280.280.110.270.101962%0.373-0.091090%0.06
Richaun Holmes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.02965%0.091-0.03250%-0.01
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Justin James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.01933%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.00555%-0.042-0.041100%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.001140%-0.025-0.113100%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23-0.23-0.11-0.110.011631%-0.152-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.62.426.614.826.20.329.31.818.2145.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +12.0%
SAC +12.1%
DEN -8.1%
SAC +19.6%
SAC +14.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game16.214.714.295.196.2109.6
season15.014.3112.0109.0
opponent14.514.5110.9110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.815.315.418.715.116.2
SAC14.815.313.414.716.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Beasley39380.25-0.751.000.192-5716.516.00.5415.114.50.62
Monte Morris33330.21-0.710.930.152-5714.517.0-2.4615.014.60.38
Paul Millsap40400.17-0.670.84-0.016-91516.116.2-0.1714.814.70.10
Mason Plumlee34340.16-0.660.820.160-3314.217.1-2.9114.714.7-0.05
Juancho Hernangomez1717-0.07-0.430.370.11-63-914.816.5-1.6912.515.1-2.61
Will Barton7880-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.655-81316.116.4-0.3115.013.91.09
Nikola Jokic6870-0.660.16-0.82-0.57-30-317.114.22.9114.714.70.05
Jerami Grant6264-0.670.17-0.84-0.40-96-1516.216.10.1714.714.8-0.10
Gary Harris7073-0.680.18-0.87-0.48-74-1116.415.70.7614.714.60.09
Jamal Murray6971-0.710.21-0.93-0.57-52-717.014.52.4614.615.0-0.38

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes91870.87-0.371.240.3717-143114.516.5-2.0916.315.30.99
Cory Joseph78760.75-0.251.000.4610-71714.316.0-1.6716.914.22.71
Buddy Hield80790.69-0.190.890.3711-81914.714.9-0.2116.216.00.28
Richaun Holmes73700.61-0.110.72-0.0021-183914.814.50.3216.714.91.81
Bogdan Bogdanovic52530.53-0.030.560.4721115.014.40.6516.615.70.89
Nemanja Bjelica5250-0.100.60-0.700.28-1316-2914.515.0-0.5015.516.8-1.25
Yogi Ferrell2222-0.220.72-0.94-0.01-710-1715.414.50.8314.016.8-2.78
Justin James4950-0.240.74-0.99-0.01-811-1915.314.21.0515.816.6-0.82
Dewayne Dedmon2323-0.390.89-1.290.14-1821-3915.014.60.4314.816.6-1.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.59,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 134, HOU 1380.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.04,0.5,0.85,0.63,0.57,0.73,190.8%
DEN 116, DAL 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.02,0.1,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.92,190.1%
LAC 91, CHH 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,189.4%