inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 116 Excitement8.0 [266] MVPRaymond Felton (DAL): +45.7%
Dallas Mavericks 122 Comeback211.8 [4] LVPWill Barton (DEN): -24.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.190,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.190.090.100.011267%0.211-0.02667%-0.06
Darrell Arthur0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.120.060.03-0.04965%0.141-0.022100%0.02
Gary Harris0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.030.021355%0.091-0.04540%-0.04
Mike Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.040.09-0.05-0.001462%0.061-0.02475%0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaKarr Sampson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00450%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001144%-0.002-0.03560%-0.03
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.02533%-0.014-0.092100%0.01
Will Barton-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24-0.10-0.18-0.032442%-0.104-0.14580%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.35,0.46,0.460.460.060.39-0.011262%0.481-0.022100%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.120.190.02877%0.301-0.02683%-0.04
Chandler Parsons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.150.050.021771%0.212-0.03475%-0.02
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.01744%0.0000.00250%0.00
Zaza Pachulia00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.031058%0.001-0.02450%-0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06-0.060.02-0.060.01767%0.083-0.14475%-0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01653%0.023-0.095100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.040.022148%0.002-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.12.432.515.426.52.432.32.517.9159.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.52.217.3136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +70.4%
DEN -6.4%
DEN -2.4%
DEN -6.3%
DEN -5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.014.314.9110.5116.2105.1
season14.915.5104.3105.0
opponent14.714.9106.5107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN15.913.717.516.518.016.0
DAL15.413.514.614.013.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller10110.23-0.730.960.085-111614.516.2-1.6913.714.3-0.59
Joffrey Lauvergne870.17-0.670.84-0.068-142210.616.5-5.8515.114.20.95
Nikola Jokic21210.08-0.580.67-0.034-101417.515.71.8115.014.10.99
Danilo Gallinari5454-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-5416.515.51.0514.813.71.07
JaKarr Sampson69-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-2-216.316.00.3214.314.20.08
Emmanuel Mudiay5153-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-2-216.016.00.0214.514.00.51
D.J. Augustin7070-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-60-616.016.00.0414.414.00.43
Darrell Arthur6058-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.42-1-5415.516.7-1.2314.513.90.62
Will Barton8586-0.530.03-0.56-0.33-71-815.717.5-1.8814.114.8-0.71
Gary Harris6867-0.720.22-0.95-0.37-126-1816.215.70.5013.715.3-1.58
Kenneth Faried6966-0.940.44-1.39-0.36-2014-3416.814.62.1113.315.8-2.53

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raymond Felton76761.19-0.691.880.3130-245414.015.0-0.9817.013.53.47
Chandler Parsons77770.86-0.361.210.3916-102614.214.4-0.1916.913.53.45
Deron Williams60610.85-0.351.190.618-21014.014.5-0.4816.715.21.50
Wesley Matthews78800.72-0.220.930.2815-92413.815.6-1.8016.813.43.45
Dirk Nowitzki78800.63-0.130.760.1616-102614.314.10.2516.913.33.56
Salah Mejri66-0.100.60-0.690.05-511-1613.314.3-0.987.816.5-8.69
Zaza Pachulia1617-0.250.75-1.000.07-1117-2814.914.10.8015.216.2-1.02
Devin Harris4846-0.340.84-1.170.05-1319-3214.414.20.1813.717.8-4.11
David Lee5048-0.450.95-1.39-0.18-915-2415.213.41.8815.216.7-1.47
Jose Juan Barea3634-0.611.11-1.72-0.11-1723-4014.514.10.3712.917.5-4.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.13,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.02,0.1,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 134, HOU 1380.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.04,0.5,0.85,0.63,0.57,0.73,189.7%
SAC 110, POR 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.69,189.6%
TOR 101, PHI 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.95,188.8%