NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	104		Excitement	8.5 [219]		MVP	Abdel Nader (OKC): +22.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	6.2 [296]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -19.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	17	67%	0.26	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	7	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kenrich Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	45%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Frank Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolo Melli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.06	0.01	-0.10	-0.03	17	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	15	47%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	-0.00	11	79%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	39%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	24	52%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	13	36%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	24.2	14.6	28.7	2.0	26.0	124.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +34.9%

NOP -5.3%

OKC +9.7%

OKC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.0	14.2	101.0	103.8	109.6
season	13.4	14.3		109.9	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		107.6	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.0	13.2	11.9	16.0	13.7
OKC	12.7	14.5	14.3	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahlil Okafor	58	58	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.31	12	-17	29	13.3	14.2	-0.85	14.2	13.8	0.44
Josh Hart	69	68	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-10	15	13.0	15.0	-1.93	14.1	13.8	0.35
Nicolo Melli	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	12.7	14.0	-1.37	13.5	14.2	-0.68
E'Twaun Moore	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-7	9	12.8	14.6	-1.76	14.4	13.6	0.82
Kenrich Williams	14	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	7	-19	15.6	13.4	2.27	13.1	14.2	-1.04
Frank Jackson	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	13.9	13.6	0.30	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	88	89	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	13.7	13.3	0.41	14.3	12.2	2.08
Brandon Ingram	76	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-5	5	14.1	12.5	1.57	13.7	14.9	-1.19
JJ Redick	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	-3	1	14.4	12.2	2.21	13.9	14.3	-0.35
Jaxson Hayes	45	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	12	-29	14.2	13.3	0.85	13.8	14.2	-0.44

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	69	69	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-7	19	13.9	14.2	-0.24	13.7	13.6	0.14
Chris Paul	63	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	13.9	14.2	-0.26	13.9	13.4	0.48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	73	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	2	1	14.1	13.8	0.33	14.0	13.0	1.03
Steven Adams	57	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	13.3	14.8	-1.52	13.3	14.1	-0.84
Deonte Burton	23	21	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	-1	7	13.5	14.2	-0.68	14.1	13.6	0.58
Danilo Gallinari	59	57	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	9	-13	14.0	14.0	-0.06	13.9	13.3	0.60
Abdel Nader	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	-2	9	14.4	13.7	0.71	13.8	13.6	0.18
Nerlens Noel	48	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	14.8	13.3	1.52	14.1	13.3	0.84
Darius Bazley	33	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	4	-3	14.4	13.8	0.52	12.2	14.4	-2.24
Terrance Ferguson	52	51	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	17	-29	13.8	14.2	-0.44	13.4	14.0	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	90.1%
NJN 86, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.76,1,1	90.1%
LAL 103, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,1	89.6%