NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	7.6 [339]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +119.3%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	665.7 [1]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): -13.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	1.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.32,1.19	0.37	0.91	0.08	28	84%	1.32	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Coby White	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	19	74%	0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.04	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Shaquille Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	9	17%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.16	-0.00	10	100%	0.41	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.04	0.04	12	78%	0.25	4	-0.11	12	75%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.01	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	13	64%	0.09	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	27.6	14.8	28.2	1.8	33.5	134.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +46.3%

CHA -7.2%

CHA -6.4%

CHI +17.9%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.2	117.2	116.2	109.6
season	14.1	15.1		105.3	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		112.4	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	13.0	17.0	14.3	14.1
CHA	15.2	14.7	16.5	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	60	59	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.62	13	-12	25	13.3	15.3	-1.97	14.4	16.0	-1.63
Zach LaVine	72	72	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.52	14	-13	27	13.7	15.0	-1.34	15.1	14.9	0.14
Wendell Carter Jr.	70	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-6	13	14.2	13.8	0.38	15.2	14.7	0.44
Ryan Arcidiacono	49	49	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.51	-1	2	-3	14.5	13.7	0.81	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Coby White	73	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.51	-5	6	-11	13.9	14.6	-0.70	14.5	16.6	-2.10
Shaquille Harrison	26	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-5	11	14.6	13.9	0.70	16.6	14.5	2.10
Lauri Markkanen	51	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	0	1	13.7	14.4	-0.73	14.4	15.7	-1.23
Daniel Gafford	29	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	7	-13	13.8	14.2	-0.38	14.7	15.2	-0.44
Thaddeus Young	26	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.03	-12	13	-25	15.0	13.7	1.27	16.4	14.5	1.84
Kris Dunn	39	40	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.15	-12	13	-25	15.3	13.3	1.97	16.0	14.4	1.63

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	32	33	0.46	-0.96	1.41	0.13	11	-12	23	14.8	15.1	-0.37	15.1	13.5	1.55
Malik Monk	38	35	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.24	3	-4	7	16.6	14.0	2.60	15.1	13.5	1.54
Bismack Biyombo	50	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.63	23	-24	47	13.6	16.5	-2.85	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Cody Martin	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	12.3	15.4	-3.07	12.5	14.3	-1.78
P.J. Washington	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	4	-9	14.8	15.3	-0.50	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Marvin Williams	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-5	9	15.1	15.0	0.15	14.1	14.0	0.10
Cody Zeller	49	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.16	-24	23	-47	16.5	13.6	2.85	14.2	13.9	0.32
Miles Bridges	70	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.71	2	-3	5	15.3	14.4	0.87	14.5	12.9	1.54
Terry Rozier	72	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.48	-7	6	-13	14.2	17.2	-2.96	13.8	14.8	-1.07
Devonte' Graham	81	79	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.51	-10	9	-19	15.4	13.4	1.94	13.8	15.2	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0	90.2%
NOH 84, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.59,0	90.1%
MIA 113, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.91,0	89.7%