inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 113 Excitement8.7 [162] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +67.1%
Houston Rockets 110 Comeback12.1 [168] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -21.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.670,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34,0.670.210.45-0.012663%0.6700.00862%-0.01
Chris Bosh0.230,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.230.110.10-0.021475%0.283-0.054100%0.06
Udonis Haslem0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.080.08-0.00683%0.1700.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.150.020.13-0.01757%0.181-0.0400%0.00
Shane Battier0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.003100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.00536%-0.022-0.051100%0.00
Norris Cole-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.04-0.01617%-0.053-0.1000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21-0.04-0.20-0.021844%-0.132-0.08743%-0.21

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.39,0.390.390.140.23-0.021766%0.401-0.014100%0.04
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.080.20-0.014100%0.2900.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.03-0.011457%0.1100.00250%-0.03
Omer Asik0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.01863%0.153-0.061479%0.03
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.06-0.011040%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03250%0.032-0.0400%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.06-0.060.01-0.060.011749%-0.012-0.041182%0.02
Jeremy Lin0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.16-0.02850%-0.122-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.71.834.516.826.22.735.0142.7
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +54.9%
HOU -30.9%
MIA +33.6%
HOU -9.8%
MIA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAHOUNBAMIAHOUNBA
this game14.415.515.4118.9113.4104.1
season15.714.2110.2107.9
opponent15.415.9105.0102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.812.915.816.814.4
HOU15.514.215.517.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier44461.01-0.511.520.5117-143113.315.5-2.1816.614.62.02
Chris Bosh66660.79-0.291.070.4611-81914.115.3-1.2516.613.33.27
LeBron James76760.73-0.230.950.498-51314.414.7-0.3016.412.44.04
Dwyane Wade80830.67-0.170.850.2913-102314.016.7-2.6415.615.00.64
Ray Allen49510.470.030.440.53-25-715.313.51.7415.216.0-0.78
Mario Chalmers5353-0.070.57-0.64-0.1321114.813.90.9215.915.10.75
Rashard Lewis2121-0.190.69-0.89-0.08-47-1114.514.40.0412.816.3-3.55
Norris Cole3132-0.330.83-1.170.02-1215-2714.414.5-0.0314.116.2-2.12
Udonis Haslem3234-0.360.86-1.23-0.04-1114-2515.114.10.9413.016.9-3.88

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Toney Douglas25270.43-0.931.360.0513-162914.515.9-1.3817.513.24.30
Marcus Morris33360.30-0.801.110.107-101716.515.01.5116.813.03.85
Omer Asik68660.10-0.600.700.16-2-1-115.116.5-1.3414.215.0-0.75
Terrence Jones210.01-0.510.530.010-3310.515.7-5.1510.014.5-4.49
Carlos Delfino4747-0.06-0.440.38-0.6219-224114.116.9-2.7915.813.12.66
Patrick Patterson7269-0.770.27-1.04-0.50-96-1516.113.82.3013.915.8-1.83
Chandler Parsons8482-0.790.29-1.08-0.26-1815-3315.714.61.0813.917.8-3.85
James Harden8279-0.800.30-1.10-0.54-96-1515.814.41.3613.817.7-3.90
Jeremy Lin7268-0.930.43-1.36-0.46-1613-2915.914.51.3813.217.5-4.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.91,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 114, MIL 1100.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.68,0.72,091.1%
MIA 106, CHA 1050.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,090.1%
LAC 105, MIL 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.58,089.8%