NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	8.5 [213]		MVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): +85.1%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	14.1 [93]		LVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): -14.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devonte' Graham	0.85	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.85	0.14	0.72	0.01	19	76%	1.00	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.15	0.10	0.01	9	79%	0.25	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	9	65%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	16	46%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Cody Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	41%	0.02	1	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	0%	-0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.26	-0.02	16	59%	0.40	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	8	74%	0.26	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.15	0.15	-0.05	0.17	-0.02	13	40%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	28.5	15.7	24.7	2.4	30.2	132.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +60.5%

NYK -10.1%

NYK -10.4%

NYK -4.4%

CHA +14.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	16.3	14.2	113.2	112.1	109.6
season	15.1	14.5		105.4	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.7		111.9	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	14.9	16.0	14.7	15.4
NYK	14.0	15.1	17.6	18.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	54	54	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.43	18	-17	35	15.3	15.6	-0.34	16.6	15.7	0.97
Terry Rozier	66	68	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-8	17	15.3	15.6	-0.34	16.6	15.1	1.56
Devonte' Graham	71	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	0	1	15.1	16.4	-1.35	16.1	16.7	-0.64
Malik Monk	50	50	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	15.0	15.9	-0.83	15.5	17.2	-1.72
P.J. Washington	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	15.8	14.0	1.72	16.4	15.9	0.51
Marvin Williams	45	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.17	12	-11	23	13.8	16.9	-3.07	17.4	15.2	2.18
Cody Martin	4	3	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	8	-15	19.0	15.2	3.77	14.3	16.3	-1.98
Bismack Biyombo	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	7	-13	16.0	15.3	0.74	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Cody Zeller	49	49	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.21	-4	5	-9	16.1	14.6	1.44	15.7	16.9	-1.12
Miles Bridges	28	28	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.08	-17	18	-35	16.8	14.8	2.01	16.0	16.4	-0.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	50	48	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.13	4	-5	9	16.2	16.3	-0.16	15.8	14.9	0.93
Kevin Knox II	28	28	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-6	11	15.2	16.7	-1.55	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Damyean Dotson	42	45	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-4	7	16.2	16.3	-0.12	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Dennis Smith Jr.	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.23	-7	6	-13	16.5	16.2	0.32	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Bobby Portis	40	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	16.7	15.9	0.80	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Marcus Morris Sr.	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	16.1	16.4	-0.30	15.8	14.8	0.97
Taj Gibson	41	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.02	16.8	14.3	2.49
Mitchell Robinson	51	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	2	-5	16.0	16.6	-0.62	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Frank Ntilikina	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.73	4	-5	9	16.3	16.2	0.12	15.7	14.4	1.33
RJ Barrett	59	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	9	-19	16.8	15.2	1.55	15.6	15.0	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.58,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	90.3%
GSW 111, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.92,0	89.0%
MIL 93, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.64,0.83,0.73,0	88.9%