NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	8.5 [107]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +36.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	12.4 [47]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.16,0.36	-0.02	0.38	0.00	16	56%	0.61	4	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	0.00	14	54%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Armen Gilliam	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dell Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.00	11	70%	0.08	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	0.00	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.02	12	78%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	3	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	18	48%	-0.04	4	-0.14	12	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.5	14.8	27.2	1.7	35.6	132.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +58.2%

PHI -25.2%

MIL +2.1%

MIL +10.3%

MIL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.8	105.7	105.7	99.6
season	15.8	15.6		102.4	97.0
opponent	15.9	16.4		94.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.8	16.8	16.2	15.0	16.4
PHI	16.5	16.7	15.8	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	44	46	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.66	5	-4	9	15.3	17.5	-2.20	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Glenn Robinson	62	64	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-3	7	16.6	15.9	0.76	16.8	15.7	1.14
Tyrone Hill	61	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	16.8	15.5	1.35	16.7	16.1	0.58
Ray Allen	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	0	1	17.2	15.2	2.03	16.4	16.6	-0.20
Terrell Brandon	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	17.0	15.2	1.81	16.0	17.5	-1.54
Michael Curry	31	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	-5	11	15.2	17.1	-1.84	16.7	16.4	0.28
Vinny Del Negro	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	-1	3	15.9	16.8	-0.91	16.9	16.2	0.77
Armen Gilliam	40	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	3	-5	15.2	17.4	-2.24	16.8	16.3	0.50
Ervin Johnson	53	50	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	12	-23	17.1	15.4	1.74	16.3	16.8	-0.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	61	60	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-9	17	16.6	16.2	0.49	17.0	15.1	1.87
Harvey Grant	39	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	17.0	16.1	0.87	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Tim Thomas	13	16	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	3	-7	17.1	16.4	0.69	16.8	16.3	0.48
Theo Ratliff	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-5	9	16.4	16.8	-0.39	16.5	16.1	0.33
George Lynch	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-3	5	16.4	16.6	-0.22	17.0	15.8	1.17
Larry Hughes	13	13	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	12	-25	17.5	16.3	1.23	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Eric Snow	75	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.41	-1	0	-1	16.4	17.1	-0.68	16.5	16.2	0.29
Allen Iverson	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	0	-1	16.4	18.2	-1.80	16.4	16.9	-0.47
Aaron McKie	32	33	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.63	2	-3	5	15.8	16.9	-1.13	15.7	16.9	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.86,0.64,0.83,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.76,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.93,0.72,0.85,0.58,0	91.7%
CLE 97, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.83,0	90.2%
NYK 91, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.42,0	90.1%