NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	9.5 [117]		MVP	Maxi Kleber (DAL): +21.4%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	4.5 [504]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -26.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	6	87%	0.30	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Evan Fournier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	72%	0.18	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Wes Iwundu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.13	0.03	-0.16	-0.00	15	54%	-0.05	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.00	-0.14	-0.00	10	52%	-0.04	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.14,-0.27	0.04	-0.35	-0.04	17	64%	0.19	4	-0.46	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	0.00	6	87%	0.21	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Luka Doncic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.19,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	21	55%	0.31	6	-0.24	7	86%	0.02
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	79%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.10	2	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	14	33%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.14	0.02	2	56%	-0.15	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.7	27.0	15.3	29.3	1.5	35.5	137.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +4.2%

ORL -15.4%

DAL +7.6%

DAL +36.8%

DAL +17.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DAL	NBA	ORL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	13.4	14.2	103.9	107.0	109.6
season	14.7	14.5		107.1	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.2		111.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.9	16.6	18.8	11.6	15.1
DAL	11.3	14.0	12.5	16.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	58	59	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.00	12	-13	25	14.4	15.9	-1.54	14.2	12.4	1.82
Jonathan Isaac	66	64	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-16	31	14.8	15.5	-0.68	14.7	11.3	3.38
Wes Iwundu	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	0	-1	14.9	15.1	-0.15	11.7	13.7	-2.01
Markelle Fultz	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.46	9	-10	19	15.3	14.9	0.39	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Khem Birch	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	5	-11	15.2	15.0	0.25	13.4	13.5	-0.08
Nikola Vucevic	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-6	11	15.2	14.8	0.41	13.5	13.4	0.08
Michael Carter-Williams	48	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	7	-15	14.6	15.4	-0.78	13.1	13.7	-0.61
Al-Farouq Aminu	32	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.11	-14	13	-27	16.0	14.6	1.37	10.9	14.6	-3.63
Aaron Gordon	78	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	5	-11	15.6	13.2	2.37	13.3	13.9	-0.63
D.J. Augustin	62	60	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	10	-21	14.7	15.6	-0.89	13.6	13.2	0.44

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	54	56	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.52	15	-14	29	12.7	14.3	-1.56	15.5	14.5	1.06
Luka Doncic	76	79	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-5	11	13.3	13.9	-0.63	15.5	13.6	1.93
Maxi Kleber	40	43	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-5	11	13.2	13.6	-0.36	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Dorian Finney-Smith	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.62	-5	6	-11	13.7	13.1	0.62	15.6	14.4	1.14
Dwight Powell	68	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	2	-3	13.7	12.8	0.88	15.8	13.5	2.32
Justin Jackson	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	-2	5	12.7	13.9	-1.21	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Kristaps Porzingis	72	70	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	4	-7	13.9	12.2	1.65	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Jalen Brunson	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	0	1	11.7	13.7	-2.01	15.9	14.9	1.01
Boban Marjanovic	5	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	2	-3	9.8	13.6	-3.83	10.3	15.4	-5.02
J.J. Barea	32	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	1	-1	14.7	12.9	1.79	16.1	14.6	1.49
Seth Curry	14	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.12	-6	7	-13	12.7	13.6	-0.84	13.6	15.4	-1.83
Delon Wright	28	27	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.14	-10	11	-21	14.7	13.0	1.72	12.6	15.9	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.58,1	90.8%
SEA 93, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.84,0.72,1	90.7%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	90.5%