NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	9.9 [94]		MVP	Ky Bowman (GSW): +20.3%
Golden State Warriors	87		Comeback	3.6 [443]		LVP	Devonte' Graham (CHA): -51.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	8	69%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	7	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,0.06,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	17	48%	0.12	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.29
Dwayne Bacon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	21	53%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Cody Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	10	10%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	-0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.36,-0.51	-0.17	-0.34	-0.00	8	22%	-0.19	5	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ky Bowman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	-0.01	11	67%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.09	0.01	18	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.07
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	59%	0.23	3	-0.24	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.09,0.09,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.01	12	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Omari Spellman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	9	26%	-0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.0	29.2	14.5	25.3	1.8	39.7	136.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -14.8%

GSW -0.5%

CHA +60.5%

CHA +15.2%

GSW -10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	14.2	101.1	94.6	109.6
season	15.1	14.1		105.4	103.9
opponent	14.3	14.7		112.8	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.9	13.8	15.1	16.2	14.4
GSW	17.9	16.2	17.6	15.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	12	11	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	2	2	13.3	14.6	-1.28	11.0	17.7	-6.65
Dwayne Bacon	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-9	24	14.6	14.0	0.54	17.1	16.2	0.87
Terry Rozier	67	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-5	16	15.0	12.9	2.15	17.1	16.3	0.80
Marvin Williams	46	47	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	6	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.76	16.7	17.0	-0.32
Malik Monk	40	37	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	4	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.17	17.0	16.8	0.24
Devonte' Graham	61	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	0	6	13.3	16.6	-3.32	16.0	18.7	-2.62
Cody Zeller	38	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.3	13.8	1.48	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Miles Bridges	58	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	14.6	14.3	0.29	16.8	17.0	-0.19
Bismack Biyombo	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.3	14.3	0.98	18.4	16.7	1.76
P.J. Washington	60	60	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.24	-2	8	-10	14.6	14.2	0.35	18.3	14.2	4.14

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	38	39	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-12	18	17.8	16.2	1.63	15.9	13.4	2.56
Omari Spellman	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-8	10	17.7	16.4	1.33	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Glenn Robinson III	71	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-12	18	16.3	18.9	-2.59	14.4	14.6	-0.26
Marquese Chriss	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	3	-12	16.1	17.0	-0.87	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Alec Burks	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-2	-2	17.1	16.6	0.51	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Damion Lee	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	15.7	18.5	-2.81	13.8	15.4	-1.57
Ky Bowman	73	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	17.3	15.2	2.14	15.2	12.0	3.23
Jordan Poole	59	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	0	-6	16.6	17.3	-0.69	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Eric Paschall	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	8	-22	17.2	16.0	1.12	14.6	14.1	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.45,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	92.4%
NYK 86, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	91.7%
MIL 100, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.62,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	91.1%