NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	9.7 [111]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +65.0%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	14.7 [106]		LVP	Nemanja Bjelica (SAC): -25.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.36	0.08	0.30	0.02	19	55%	0.36	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.06	0.14	0.03	6	79%	0.23	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	13	56%	0.13	4	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	12	65%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.65	0.65	-0.01	0.65	-0.01	13	50%	0.70	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.28	0.28	0.00	0.27	-0.01	10	48%	0.30	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	8	74%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Richaun Holmes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	23%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.11,-0.21	-0.21	0.04	-0.22	0.03	17	54%	-0.12	3	-0.09	12	75%	-0.03
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.25	-0.25	0.06	-0.30	0.01	8	69%	-0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.0	28.5	14.8	28.9	1.8	31.0	134.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.2%

UTA -8.3%

SAC +5.4%

SAC +1.4%

SAC +21.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	14.2	105.2	107.4	109.6
season	14.9	14.3		112.1	109.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		110.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	13.4	13.0	15.7	14.1
SAC	13.2	18.7	14.7	18.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	17	16	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.07	9	-10	19	12.5	14.4	-1.89	15.3	16.2	-0.93
Jeff Green	45	44	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-8	15	13.9	14.2	-0.32	16.8	15.5	1.28
Emmanuel Mudiay	28	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.05	6	-7	13	15.1	13.7	1.39	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Joe Ingles	59	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-12	23	13.9	14.4	-0.57	16.6	15.3	1.24
Mike Conley	67	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	4	-9	13.9	14.6	-0.77	16.3	15.5	0.82
Donovan Mitchell	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.57	10	-11	21	13.8	14.8	-0.94	15.8	16.8	-0.92
Rudy Gobert	75	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	6	-13	14.3	13.3	1.02	16.4	14.9	1.51
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	10	-21	13.8	14.8	-1.00	16.0	16.3	-0.29
Royce O'Neale	47	46	-1.25	0.75	-2.01	-0.52	-25	24	-49	15.2	13.0	2.25	15.0	17.1	-2.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	59	61	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.61	9	-8	17	16.1	16.0	0.14	13.7	14.7	-0.99
De'Aaron Fox	73	73	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.53	7	-6	13	16.2	15.7	0.46	14.2	13.8	0.40
Nemanja Bjelica	51	52	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-13	27	15.4	16.9	-1.54	14.7	13.3	1.41
Bogdan Bogdanovic	46	48	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	2	-3	17.3	14.9	2.41	14.1	14.1	-0.04
Dewayne Dedmon	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-10	21	16.9	15.3	1.60	15.6	12.3	3.29
Harrison Barnes	66	67	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.37	-10	11	-21	15.3	17.9	-2.66	12.9	16.8	-3.93
Trevor Ariza	63	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	3	-5	16.7	14.8	1.96	14.5	13.2	1.33
Richaun Holmes	45	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.12	-12	13	-25	15.1	16.9	-1.81	12.9	15.1	-2.22
Cory Joseph	23	22	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.05	-11	12	-23	15.4	16.3	-0.86	14.4	14.0	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 84, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	93.0%
GSW 94, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,1	92.7%
PHI 90, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.72,1	91.6%