NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	7.2 [401]		MVP	Bobby Portis (NYK): +60.5%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	29.7 [48]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -18.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Coby White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	5	20%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	18	52%	-0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.61,0.61	0.61	0.26	0.36	0.02	14	85%	0.61	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	15	46%	0.07	2	-0.05	11	45%	-0.09
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	8	-0.22	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.7	14.6	28.4	2.7	36.3	136.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.9%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +37.8%

CHI -19.5%

CHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.2	102.1	109.4	109.6
season	14.1	14.5		105.3	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	14.0	13.5	15.3	14.3
NYK	16.2	16.1	16.5	14.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	38	36	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-9	11	14.4	14.2	0.22	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Coby White	34	32	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.17	0	-7	7	14.7	14.1	0.61	13.9	16.6	-2.72
Luke Kornet	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-8	9	13.3	14.8	-1.51	16.5	15.3	1.23
Thaddeus Young	46	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.19	-8	1	-9	15.4	13.3	2.07	13.6	17.4	-3.79
Ryan Arcidiacono	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.1	0.57	12.8	17.3	-4.50
Wendell Carter Jr.	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	14.3	14.4	-0.15	15.3	16.3	-1.03
Tomas Satoransky	51	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.40	-4	-3	-1	13.7	15.0	-1.25	17.1	14.0	3.12
Lauri Markkanen	56	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	-4	1	14.1	14.7	-0.62	17.2	13.4	3.84
Zach LaVine	68	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	1	-9	14.4	14.1	0.24	16.6	13.4	3.22
Otto Porter Jr.	61	64	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	-2	-3	14.2	14.5	-0.27	16.6	13.9	2.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	61	60	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.23	31	-24	55	13.7	19.1	-5.39	15.4	12.4	3.03
Wayne Ellington	44	46	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.10	21	-14	35	13.5	17.6	-4.08	15.6	13.2	2.41
Julius Randle	66	65	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-2	11	16.1	14.8	1.29	14.2	14.5	-0.21
RJ Barrett	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.40	5	2	3	16.4	12.7	3.74	14.4	14.1	0.26
Marcus Morris Sr.	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	9	-11	17.3	12.9	4.41	13.5	15.7	-2.21
Kevin Knox II	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	4	-1	13.7	16.8	-3.06	15.1	13.9	1.17
Taj Gibson	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	8	-9	13.6	16.0	-2.39	15.1	14.2	0.89
Frank Ntilikina	47	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	14.2	17.1	-2.93	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Elfrid Payton	40	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	17.7	14.2	3.54	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Mitchell Robinson	35	36	-0.64	1.14	-1.78	0.07	-24	31	-55	19.1	13.7	5.39	12.4	15.4	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.07,0.41,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	90.3%
NYK 124, NOP 129	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.68,0.84,1	90.1%
MIN 96, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.99,1	89.7%