NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	124		Excitement	8.4 [251]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +24.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	129		Comeback	16.3 [203]		LVP	Allonzo Trier (NYK): -13.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23	0.19	0.05	0.02	13	77%	0.23	1	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	23	54%	0.19	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Ntilikina	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	11	46%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.00	0.02	25	66%	0.28	2	-0.03	15	67%	-0.18
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.19	0.03	10	68%	0.31	3	-0.09	8	62%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	11	59%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.09,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	18	62%	0.09	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	30.5	15.4	26.5	2.5	35.2	135.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +21.9%

NYK -5.8%

NOP +41.7%

NYK -7.7%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOP	NBA	NYK	NOP	NBA
this game	13.5	12.6	14.3	112.7	116.2	109.3
season	14.5	13.4		103.8	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.4	12.5	13.3	15.9	13.5
NOP	12.4	12.3	13.9	11.8	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	62	63	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.36	0	-5	5	13.6	13.3	0.30	13.0	12.1	0.85
Emmanuel Mudiay	57	55	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.04	10	-15	25	12.8	14.2	-1.44	12.5	12.7	-0.22
Damyean Dotson	44	43	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.21	0	-5	5	13.5	13.5	-0.01	11.5	13.2	-1.72
Enes Kanter	35	35	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.21	-2	-3	1	14.0	13.3	0.72	12.0	12.9	-0.90
Frank Ntilikina	32	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	11	-27	12.9	13.7	-0.86	13.5	12.1	1.35
Mitchell Robinson	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.56	2	-7	9	13.1	13.9	-0.84	12.5	12.7	-0.16
Trey Burke	56	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	3	-11	14.2	12.7	1.53	12.5	12.7	-0.27
Tim Hardaway Jr.	87	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.43	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.3	-1.04	12.9	11.3	1.65
Kevin Knox	48	48	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.80	3	-8	11	13.5	13.5	0.07	12.6	12.6	-0.04
Allonzo Trier	73	74	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.53	-9	4	-13	13.9	12.6	1.30	12.6	12.6	-0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	66	65	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.17	25	-20	45	12.8	12.3	0.50	14.3	12.3	2.06
Anthony Davis	95	94	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-5	15	12.8	11.6	1.20	13.0	16.6	-3.61
E'Twaun Moore	67	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.56	3	2	1	13.1	11.8	1.31	13.6	13.3	0.32
Julius Randle	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.51	4	1	3	13.6	11.2	2.37	14.1	12.7	1.43
Jrue Holiday	83	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-1	7	12.4	13.2	-0.79	13.8	12.5	1.34
Ian Clark	36	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	-1	7	13.0	12.4	0.57	11.9	14.2	-2.27
Wesley Johnson	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	13	-21	12.8	12.5	0.32	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Elfrid Payton	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	17	-29	11.5	12.8	-1.31	12.4	13.7	-1.30
Frank Jackson	28	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.16	-2	7	-9	10.7	13.2	-2.50	13.9	13.3	0.59
Nikola Mirotic	66	65	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.15	-7	12	-19	11.7	13.9	-2.15	13.3	13.7	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.74,1	91.6%
PHI 91, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.57,0.84,1	91.2%
CHI 76, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.76,0.91,1	90.8%