NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.1 [430]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +9.8%
Miami Heat	96		Comeback	15.0 [237]		LVP	TJ McConnell (PHI): -18.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.02	11	72%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
JaKarr Sampson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Canaan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.15,-0.01,-0.05	0.08	-0.13	0.00	17	59%	0.11	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	20	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	7	20%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.02
TJ McConnell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.12	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.10	0.01	5	33%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.05
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.22	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.03	17	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.05
Luol Deng	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	43%	0.09	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	31%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	36.2	14.8	27.0	1.8	46.2	154.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +28.1%

MIA +15.6%

MIA +1.5%

MIA +7.1%

PHI -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	12.7	14.9	92.9	98.0	105.1
season	14.8	15.5		97.7	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.2		103.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.7	16.7	18.5	19.3	16.7
MIA	13.9	12.8	13.4	10.7	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaKarr Sampson	21	20	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.04	12	-17	29	14.1	17.4	-3.22	14.5	12.2	2.31
Hollis Thompson	45	45	0.36	-0.86	1.23	-0.13	17	-22	39	14.9	18.2	-3.22	12.8	12.7	0.08
Jahlil Okafor	68	71	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-7	9	16.8	16.3	0.54	13.2	11.4	1.80
Nik Stauskas	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	6	-17	16.7	16.6	0.07	12.1	13.5	-1.39
Robert Covington	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.53	9	-14	23	16.3	17.4	-1.04	12.8	12.5	0.25
Isaiah Canaan	55	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-13	21	16.1	17.4	-1.24	13.0	12.3	0.75
Nerlens Noel	59	60	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.08	-22	17	-39	18.1	14.5	3.63	12.5	13.1	-0.60
Jerami Grant	62	59	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.12	-21	16	-37	18.0	14.5	3.48	12.3	13.3	-0.94
TJ McConnell	61	61	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.47	-19	14	-33	16.8	16.5	0.30	12.3	13.5	-1.20

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	55	57	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.34	25	-20	45	11.1	14.8	-3.74	16.9	16.3	0.65
Dwyane Wade	76	75	0.92	-0.41	1.33	0.33	20	-15	35	12.1	14.7	-2.60	16.3	18.0	-1.68
Chris Bosh	68	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	13.0	12.1	0.93	17.9	13.7	4.24
Gerald Green	45	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	2	1	11.3	13.9	-2.59	18.1	15.4	2.75
Justise Winslow	49	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	6	-7	12.6	12.9	-0.33	16.4	17.0	-0.64
Hassan Whiteside	63	62	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	2	1	12.7	12.7	0.04	15.3	19.0	-3.68
Beno Udrih	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	16.0	12.3	3.70	18.0	16.5	1.48
Luol Deng	53	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	5	-5	13.9	11.4	2.51	14.8	18.8	-3.97
Josh Richardson	9	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	17	-29	15.0	12.5	2.52	15.9	16.8	-0.86
Josh McRoberts	27	25	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.08	-7	12	-19	13.1	12.5	0.60	18.7	16.0	2.75
Tyler Johnson	34	34	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.05	-17	22	-39	14.4	11.8	2.51	16.6	16.7	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.31,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.25,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.74,1	92.4%
NYK 124, NOP 129	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.33,0.19,0.36,0.68,0.84,1	91.2%
DET 84, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.22,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.91,1	90.7%