inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 122 Excitement12.5 [16] MVPFred VanVleet (TOR): +61.1%
Toronto Raptors 130 Comeback8.9 [243] LVPJrue Holiday (NOP): -19.8%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0.360,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.360.090.25-0.03989%0.403-0.0300%0.00
Josh Hart0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.250.080.190.03968%0.331-0.084100%0.03
Nicolo Melli0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.160.110.04-0.017100%0.232-0.0700%0.00
Frank Jackson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.07-0.00664%0.151-0.052100%0.02
Jahlil Okafor0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.01389%0.081-0.03367%-0.06
Kenrich Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.04-0.00427%0.021-0.033100%0.03
E'Twaun Moore-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Lonzo Ball-0.040,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00750%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Brandon Ingram-0.150,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.15,-0.150.04-0.180.011952%-0.022-0.134100%0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.05-0.001015%-0.131-0.0400%0.00
Jrue Holiday-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.14-0.10-0.041541%-0.045-0.1620%-0.09

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.610.610.260.34-0.011881%0.652-0.04683%0.02
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.10-0.012654%0.374-0.221191%0.03
Kyle Lowry0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.16,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.080.08-0.010.110.011551%0.214-0.121385%0.12
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.06-0.00932%0.0300.001100%0.02
Terence Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.020.00642%0.0200.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.001244%-0.021-0.0410%-0.02
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00736%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.06-0.001050%0.003-0.10683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.63.331.516.429.43.340.42.611.2169.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP -39.9%
TOR +63.5%
TOR +33.7%
TOR +8.6%
NOP -15.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPTORNBANOPTORNBA
this game14.113.814.2108.9112.1109.6
season13.414.0109.9109.9
opponent14.514.2104.2111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOP13.214.413.215.215.414.1
TOR12.511.916.114.216.113.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolo Melli39400.51-1.001.510.1811-193014.513.90.6815.013.21.79
Kenrich Williams35370.34-0.841.180.0211-193015.213.61.6414.613.41.20
Frank Jackson27270.21-0.710.930.017-152215.513.61.8714.813.51.32
Nickeil Alexander-Walker22240.15-0.650.80-0.036-142016.013.62.3114.513.60.83
Josh Hart54580.01-0.510.520.04-1-7615.412.92.4614.413.21.16
E'Twaun Moore2324-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-7616.213.62.6114.513.60.93
Jahlil Okafor2427-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.19-7-1-617.013.33.7513.014.0-1.00
Lonzo Ball5858-0.510.01-0.52-0.31-7-1-612.915.4-2.4613.214.4-1.16
Jrue Holiday9092-0.650.15-0.80-0.24-146-2013.616.0-2.3113.614.5-0.83
JJ Redick6265-0.680.18-0.87-0.27-146-2012.715.8-3.1113.114.7-1.58
Derrick Favors4949-0.720.22-0.95-0.37-124-1612.315.5-3.1913.314.2-0.93
Brandon Ingram7779-0.730.23-0.96-0.17-1911-3013.615.2-1.6413.414.6-1.20

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
OG Anunoby78730.94-0.441.390.5912-41614.113.11.0413.914.5-0.56
Fred VanVleet96940.83-0.331.150.3018-102813.614.7-1.0914.114.1-0.02
Marc Gasol71690.65-0.150.790.70-210-1214.013.50.5513.614.8-1.20
Norman Powell57530.390.110.290.3326-414.812.81.9415.812.63.22
Kyle Lowry102970.270.230.030.29-19-1013.515.9-2.3413.816.2-2.43
Terence Davis3333-0.100.60-0.71-0.1008-813.214.0-0.8714.513.90.51
Serge Ibaka5654-0.230.73-0.97-0.4162413.813.80.0014.913.31.60
Pascal Siakam8787-0.240.74-0.98-0.3953213.414.9-1.4113.316.8-3.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.34,0.1,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.67,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 119, SAS 1280.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.84,0.98,187.5%
SAS 82, ATL 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.69,0.85,187.5%
NOP 106, TOR 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.16,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.85,187.3%