NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	2.3 [1267]		MVP	T.J. McConnell (PHI): +9.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	125		Comeback	1.0 [1216]		LVP	Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot (CHI): -6.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Selden	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walter Lemon Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	19	53%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Sampson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	8	75%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.09	9	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Antonio Blakeney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rawle Alkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.07	13	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	10	90%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	12	75%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.05	14	67%	0.05	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Zhaire Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	8	63%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.02	0.03	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	21.4	14.7	23.2	2.4	26.3	114.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +41.5%

PHI +1.3%

PHI +1.5%

PHI +5.8%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.3	111.2	130.2	109.3
season	14.6	14.0		104.2	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	16.7	16.6	11.5	14.7
PHI	14.2	14.7	15.4	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Blakeney	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-28	40	11.7	16.2	-4.48	14.4	15.3	-0.92
Rawle Alkins	42	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-26	36	13.0	16.0	-3.07	16.0	14.3	1.70
Brandon Sampson	48	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.56	16	-32	48	12.2	17.1	-4.85	15.6	14.4	1.19
Cristiano Felicio	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.54	15	-31	46	11.8	17.6	-5.78	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Wayne Selden	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.32	-18	2	-20	16.2	12.8	3.33	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Walter Lemon Jr.	59	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-9	2	14.0	15.8	-1.81	15.2	14.7	0.50
Robin Lopez	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.51	-31	15	-46	17.6	11.8	5.78	15.0	15.0	0.02
Shaquille Harrison	40	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.61	-35	19	-54	17.4	12.8	4.56	13.9	15.6	-1.67
Ryan Arcidiacono	58	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	1	-18	15.9	13.0	2.92	15.1	14.8	0.37
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.26	-25	9	-34	16.0	12.8	3.13	14.7	15.4	-0.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	5	6	15.4	14.3	1.12	13.8	16.1	-2.32
Boban Marjanovic	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.27	20	-4	24	14.5	15.5	-1.02	16.2	13.2	3.01
Mike Scott	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	-5	26	14.6	15.3	-0.74	17.4	12.7	4.64
Zhaire Smith	64	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	1	14	15.1	14.8	0.22	15.3	13.4	1.93
T.J. McConnell	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.41	24	-8	32	13.8	16.0	-2.16	16.6	13.0	3.59
Furkan Korkmaz	34	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.31	19	-3	22	13.9	15.6	-1.76	17.8	12.9	4.95
Shake Milton	59	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.42	-6	22	-28	15.6	14.1	1.48	12.6	18.0	-5.43
Amir Johnson	50	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.38	-6	22	-28	15.2	14.8	0.40	12.6	17.0	-4.41
Greg Monroe	47	48	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	20	-24	15.5	14.5	1.02	13.2	16.2	-3.01
Haywood Highsmith	31	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.41	-14	30	-44	16.1	14.5	1.64	12.6	15.7	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	97.3%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAC 85, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%