NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	3.9 [1062]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +16.0%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.4 [1116]		LVP	Walter Lemon Jr. (CHI): -15.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.20	0.02	0.05	12	85%	0.20	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jonah Bolden	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	16	53%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Boban Marjanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	77%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.10	5	82%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zhaire Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.20	0.01	0.09	17	71%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Brandon Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Alkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Walter Lemon Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	16	25%	-0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	26.7	14.7	25.4	2.5	29.4	123.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.1%

CHI -2.7%

PHI +12.2%

CHI -5.6%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	14.3	119.6	98.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.6		110.9	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.2	16.2	13.1	16.2	14.3
CHI	16.0	14.5	15.7	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	57	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	8	4	14.0	14.8	-0.78	15.8	14.2	1.59
JJ Redick	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	10	0	13.5	15.3	-1.83	15.4	15.0	0.37
Mike Scott	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	8	4	13.6	15.1	-1.57	15.2	15.2	0.00
Ben Simmons	53	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	7	6	13.8	15.0	-1.25	15.8	14.5	1.30
Zhaire Smith	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	7	6	15.0	14.0	1.00	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Tobias Harris	64	66	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	13	-6	14.0	15.0	-1.00	16.0	13.5	2.47
Boban Marjanovic	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	13	-6	13.0	14.7	-1.65	14.3	15.4	-1.10
T.J. McConnell	44	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	13	-6	15.0	13.8	1.25	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Jonah Bolden	47	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	12	-4	15.1	13.6	1.57	15.2	15.2	-0.00
Shake Milton	46	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.22	10	10	0	15.3	13.5	1.83	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Greg Monroe	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	19	-18	16.7	13.8	2.98	14.2	15.4	-1.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-21	22	14.6	15.8	-1.19	16.3	11.9	4.41
Brandon Sampson	50	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-21	22	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.4	13.2	2.22
Ryan Arcidiacono	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-19	18	15.3	15.1	0.19	15.0	13.9	1.09
Wayne Selden	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-17	14	16.3	14.8	1.53	12.7	15.0	-2.29
Robin Lopez	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-14	8	15.1	15.3	-0.25	13.5	15.3	-1.83
Cristiano Felicio	46	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-6	-8	15.3	15.1	0.25	15.3	13.5	1.83
JaKarr Sampson	70	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	-3	-14	14.8	16.3	-1.53	15.0	12.7	2.29
Walter Lemon Jr.	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	-1	-18	15.1	15.3	-0.19	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Shaquille Harrison	50	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	2	-24	15.5	14.9	0.67	12.9	15.7	-2.78
Rawle Alkins	44	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.11	-20	0	-20	16.1	14.4	1.71	12.1	16.0	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, MEM 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
IND 101, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
UTA 103, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%