NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	4.1 [970]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +11.1%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	1.4 [718]		LVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.01	7	85%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	16	61%	0.08	3	-0.04	14	86%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	10	64%	0.06	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	57%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	6	87%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	7%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	16	41%	-0.05	2	-0.06	7	29%	-0.07
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	12	35%	-0.11	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.05
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	6	39%	-0.03	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	33.2	15.8	31.3	2.3	28.3	136.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.5%

UTA +6.8%

TOR -12.2%

UTA +15.9%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.2	113.2	95.7	101.7
season	16.3	15.5		104.5	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.2		102.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	16.9	15.7	15.6	16.3
TOR	17.2	12.6	17.8	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	64	66	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	0	15	16.0	17.0	-1.00	15.8	13.5	2.29
Karl Malone	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	5	5	16.1	16.8	-0.74	15.0	15.6	-0.52
Bryon Russell	76	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	2	11	16.5	15.1	1.47	15.2	15.2	-0.03
John Stockton	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	15.6	17.1	-1.55	14.6	15.9	-1.25
Pete Chilcutt	27	27	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	-5	25	14.9	16.9	-1.95	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Olden Polynice	46	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	11	-7	15.9	16.7	-0.78	16.0	14.3	1.71
Greg Ostertag	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	12	-9	17.2	15.9	1.32	15.7	15.0	0.65
Howard Eisley	43	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	13	-11	17.5	15.2	2.35	16.0	14.5	1.44
Quincy Lewis	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	11	-7	15.2	16.8	-1.60	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Scott Padgett	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.7	16.5	-3.71	12.3	15.3	-2.95
Jacque Vaughn	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	19	-23	17.5	16.1	1.36	12.2	15.6	-3.38
Adam Keefe	12	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	17	-19	21.0	15.6	5.42	15.6	15.1	0.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	22	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-18	21	13.4	15.7	-2.33	18.0	15.8	2.18
Michael Stewart	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	12.5	15.6	-3.17	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Alvin Williams	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-13	11	14.3	15.5	-1.17	15.4	16.7	-1.26
John Thomas	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-19	23	10.9	16.1	-5.22	13.9	16.8	-2.86
Muggsy Bogues	31	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-10	5	16.3	14.6	1.62	18.0	15.5	2.54
Kevin Willis	47	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-4	-7	15.9	14.4	1.49	16.4	16.2	0.12
Vince Carter	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.2	15.2	0.01	16.6	15.4	1.19
Tracy McGrady	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-14	13	14.2	16.3	-2.01	16.4	16.2	0.20
Antonio Davis	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	1	-17	15.3	15.0	0.29	16.6	16.0	0.69
Charles Oakley	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-1	-13	16.6	13.0	3.61	16.3	16.2	0.12
Doug Christie	38	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	0	-15	16.1	14.6	1.52	15.5	16.9	-1.41
Dee Brown	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	1	-17	15.7	14.7	1.00	15.9	16.8	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 109, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ORL 117, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%