NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	8.4 [258]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +41.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	3.1 [511]		LVP	Christian Wood (NOP): -17.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.41	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.41	0.13	0.31	0.03	17	68%	0.52	4	-0.11	13	92%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.14	0.19	0.02	13	60%	0.31	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.04
Dwayne Bacon	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.04	0.09	19	74%	0.31	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.02
Dairis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.00	5	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	10	74%	0.23	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	6	-0.21	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	28.4	14.7	24.4	2.5	34.5	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +0.4%

CHA +2.2%

CHA +12.2%

CHA +36.0%

NOP -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOP	NBA	CHA	NOP	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.3	110.6	106.9	109.3
season	14.6	13.4		110.4	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.5	14.7	14.8	13.4	14.0
NOP	12.7	14.7	14.5	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	65	65	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.30	17	-11	28	13.8	14.5	-0.66	13.5	14.6	-1.03
Frank Kaminsky	57	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-8	22	15.0	12.9	2.07	14.1	13.7	0.38
Malik Monk	37	38	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-4	14	14.1	14.0	0.09	14.2	13.7	0.43
Kemba Walker	77	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	3	0	14.0	14.2	-0.19	14.0	13.6	0.38
Miles Bridges	75	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	-1	8	13.5	15.5	-2.04	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Willy Hernangomez	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	14.5	13.8	0.68	11.8	14.9	-3.18
Bismack Biyombo	48	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	12	-18	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.5	13.4	1.07
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	44	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	14	-22	14.1	14.0	0.03	14.4	13.6	0.88
Devonte' Graham	35	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	7	-8	15.1	13.5	1.56	13.6	14.1	-0.53
Dwayne Bacon	49	46	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	16	-26	13.2	14.8	-1.56	14.8	13.2	1.67

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	47	49	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-11	16	14.8	13.2	1.58	14.7	13.5	1.18
Jahlil Okafor	47	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-13	20	14.4	13.5	0.83	14.3	13.9	0.41
Christian Wood	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-1	-4	13.5	14.2	-0.71	14.2	14.0	0.19
Cheick Diallo	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	1	-8	13.8	14.0	-0.17	14.0	14.1	-0.02
Julius Randle	70	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	14.1	13.5	0.55	14.3	13.5	0.84
Stanley Johnson	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	1	-8	12.7	15.1	-2.41	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Dairis Bertans	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	4	-14	14.5	13.5	1.01	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Ian Clark	67	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-6	6	13.9	14.0	-0.13	14.5	13.2	1.24
Elfrid Payton	59	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	-4	2	14.4	13.3	1.13	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Solomon Hill	55	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	5	-16	13.2	14.8	-1.58	13.5	14.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.3,0.22,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.29,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.04,0	91.4%
DEN 111, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.1,0.16,0	90.3%
SAS 110, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.07,0.05,0.17,0	90.2%