NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	8.5 [181]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): +29.9%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	4.9 [331]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -11.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.3	0.15	0.15	-0.00	17	69%	0.33	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	17	67%	0.29	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	6	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.09
Ian Mahinmi	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	-0.00	6	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Paul George	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.11	0.00	8	88%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.12
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	49%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	15	50%	0.03	5	-0.14	12	67%	-0.10
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.9	16.8	27.3	1.7	40.4	140.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.1%

IND +40.4%

DET -4.3%

DET -3.4%

DET -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.1	118.9	113.2	104.2
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	15.4	15.7	17.4	15.8
DET	17.4	15.9	15.6	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	51	51	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.55	6	-2	8	15.6	15.9	-0.30	16.3	15.7	0.52
Rodney Stuckey	59	60	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	16.9	13.6	3.30	16.0	16.1	-0.13
George Hill	69	68	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	1	2	15.8	15.7	0.08	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Roy Hibbert	49	46	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	5	-6	15.2	16.4	-1.17	15.2	16.9	-1.76
David West	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	4	-4	15.2	16.8	-1.69	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Luis Scola	33	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	0	4	16.8	15.2	1.69	17.0	15.4	1.60
Lavoy Allen	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.40	17.2	16.0	1.22
Paul George	26	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.12	1	3	-2	14.3	16.4	-2.07	15.7	16.2	-0.57
Ian Mahinmi	36	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	1	2	16.6	15.3	1.30	17.1	15.2	1.85
Donald Sloan	21	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.16	1	3	-2	15.7	15.8	-0.08	16.4	15.9	0.46
Solomon Hill	44	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	11	-18	15.3	16.3	-0.99	15.9	16.1	-0.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	38	39	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-10	16	16.9	15.4	1.55	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Anthony Tolliver	46	44	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	15.6	16.5	-0.92	17.3	14.3	3.06
Joel Anthony	4	4	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	7.0	16.5	-9.46	17.0	15.7	1.28
John Lucas III	28	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	15.7	16.2	-0.42	15.3	16.0	-0.61
Tayshaun Prince	34	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	5	-14	17.4	15.2	2.23	16.2	15.5	0.68
Greg Monroe	67	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	16.4	15.2	1.19	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-4	4	15.6	16.9	-1.38	15.2	16.9	-1.67
Reggie Jackson	63	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-4	4	16.2	15.7	0.42	16.0	15.3	0.61
Jodie Meeks	51	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	1	-6	15.0	17.4	-2.37	16.7	14.6	2.03
Andre Drummond	65	66	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.41	-16	12	-28	16.6	14.7	1.95	14.9	18.1	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.55,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 115, NOP 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.3,0.22,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.29,0.15,0,0	91.4%
SAS 110, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.07,0.05,0.17,0	91.4%
PHI 87, ORL 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.15,0.09,0	91.1%