NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.8 [112]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (PHI): +5.8%
Orlando Magic	80		Comeback	4.1 [220]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -29.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	27	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.06
Theo Ratliff	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	9	64%	0.07	7	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.15,-0.22,-0.32,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	9	67%	0.22	8	-0.39	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	5	21%	-0.12	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	2	18%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	0.00	-0.01	18	38%	-0.04	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.07	-0.13	0.04	15	49%	-0.19	3	-0.06	7	43%	-0.06
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	8	22%	-0.14	1	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	19	37%	-0.14	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	2.0	34.0	14.6	26.9	2.4	39.5	151.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.4%

PHI +31.4%

PHI +10.5%

ORL -41.1%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	13.0	15.5	84.5	76.2	100.9
season	15.7	14.6		101.4	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.8	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	15.2	15.7	13.6	14.7
ORL	11.6	13.6	11.0	16.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	79	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-5	17	14.7	14.7	-0.01	12.8	13.8	-0.96
George Lynch	44	44	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.33	12	-5	17	15.1	14.3	0.83	12.6	13.4	-0.75
Allen Iverson	95	97	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-2	11	14.3	18.5	-4.16	12.9	14.9	-1.98
Aaron McKie	66	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	14.7	14.7	-0.02	14.0	11.1	2.90
Tyrone Hill	44	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	4	-1	14.9	14.5	0.47	14.5	11.8	2.75
Vernon Maxwell	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-3	13	13.0	15.7	-2.68	14.2	12.3	1.86
Todd MacCulloch	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	3	1	13.8	14.9	-1.14	10.9	13.7	-2.79
Nazr Mohammed	19	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	12	-17	15.0	14.6	0.42	12.3	13.2	-0.91
Eric Snow	66	68	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	13	-19	16.0	12.2	3.86	12.1	14.7	-2.56
Toni Kukoc	36	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.09	-9	16	-25	14.3	14.8	-0.50	12.8	13.2	-0.36

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	80	79	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.19	3	-10	13	12.4	15.0	-2.56	15.1	13.2	1.84
Mike Miller	31	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-13	19	14.3	12.5	1.72	14.5	14.7	-0.30
Bo Outlaw	48	46	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.11	0	-7	7	12.8	13.2	-0.39	14.0	15.2	-1.19
Troy Hudson	10	9	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-10	13	12.0	13.2	-1.16	15.7	14.6	1.10
Don Reid	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-8	9	12.8	13.2	-0.44	15.6	14.0	1.54
Michael Doleac	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	12.8	13.1	-0.27	11.8	15.3	-3.43
John Amaechi	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	12.3	14.1	-1.76	14.6	14.8	-0.25
Pat Garrity	43	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-5	3	14.7	11.9	2.76	15.1	14.4	0.63
Monty Williams	25	23	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.39	-5	-2	-3	14.8	12.5	2.30	15.9	14.3	1.56
Darrell Armstrong	91	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	4	-15	12.8	14.4	-1.51	14.5	16.0	-1.53
Grant Hill	78	78	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.29	-19	12	-31	13.0	13.2	-0.19	14.5	15.2	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	91.7%
MIL 90, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.28,0	91.5%
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	91.2%