NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	6.2 [619]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +13.3%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	3.9 [547]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -21.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Layman	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	10	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	11	48%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	11	30%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	0.07	25	43%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	9	0%	-0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	13	69%	0.22	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.06	22	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.5	15.5	23.4	1.8	39.0	134.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +44.0%

DET +2.5%

POR -21.0%

DET +22.4%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DET	NBA	POR	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	14.3	89.1	99.0	109.3
season	14.9	15.3		112.6	107.5
opponent	14.0	13.9		109.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.6	15.5	16.5	13.3	14.7
DET	15.2	13.9	14.1	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Layman	51	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-16	23	15.1	14.2	0.94	14.6	13.3	1.28
Evan Turner	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-9	9	15.5	14.3	1.17	15.0	13.5	1.43
Maurice Harkless	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-8	7	14.2	15.3	-1.05	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	47	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	0	-9	15.3	14.2	1.09	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Enes Kanter	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-1	-7	14.9	14.1	0.83	14.5	12.8	1.65
Meyers Leonard	21	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	13.1	15.1	-1.93	10.8	14.8	-4.07
Zach Collins	24	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	16.6	14.1	2.51	16.7	13.1	3.60
Rodney Hood	60	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-3	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.96	14.3	13.6	0.71
Seth Curry	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-5	1	14.1	15.9	-1.82	14.0	13.9	0.10
Damian Lillard	76	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.18	-12	3	-15	14.4	15.4	-0.91	13.4	15.8	-2.38

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.14	14	-5	19	13.4	16.2	-2.84	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Reggie Jackson	71	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	13.5	15.1	-1.53	14.7	14.5	0.20
Wayne Ellington	61	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	1	7	13.4	14.8	-1.38	14.7	14.6	0.04
Langston Galloway	55	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-3	15	12.7	15.6	-2.86	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Thon Maker	63	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	1	7	12.8	16.0	-3.16	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Glenn Robinson III	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	8	-7	16.0	12.8	3.16	15.0	14.5	0.46
Bruce Brown	50	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	13	-17	14.4	13.6	0.80	14.2	15.1	-0.83
Luke Kennard	39	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	8	-7	14.8	13.4	1.38	14.6	14.7	-0.04
Ish Smith	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	15.1	13.5	1.53	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Zaza Pachulia	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	14	-19	16.2	13.4	2.84	15.6	14.4	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
HOU 108, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.9%
ATL 90, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%