NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	116		Excitement	3.7 [1089]		MVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): +14.2%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.1 [650]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -6.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	14	80%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	10	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Blakeney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	10	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	68%	0.07	7	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Shaquille Harrison	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.00	0.09	17	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	7	59%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	24	43%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	26.4	14.6	28.2	2.0	31.4	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.3%

CHI +5.7%

CHI +12.0%

CHI +3.8%

CHI +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	14.3	118.4	103.1	109.3
season	14.6	14.4		104.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	15.7	16.3	16.0	15.9
PHX	13.0	15.7	12.0	13.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille Harrison	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-2	19	14.8	18.5	-3.74	13.6	13.1	0.50
Kris Dunn	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	2	11	14.4	18.0	-3.52	14.7	11.8	2.91
Zach LaVine	68	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	3	9	14.9	18.3	-3.40	13.8	12.6	1.27
Robin Lopez	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	14.3	18.1	-3.73	14.4	12.2	2.20
Lauri Markkanen	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	7	1	14.6	18.4	-3.78	14.3	11.9	2.44
Cristiano Felicio	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	10	-5	18.7	14.2	4.48	11.9	14.4	-2.46
Wayne Selden	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	10	-5	17.7	14.7	3.00	12.1	14.3	-2.15
Antonio Blakeney	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	18.3	14.7	3.56	12.8	13.8	-0.95
Ryan Arcidiacono	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	13	-11	18.0	14.4	3.52	11.8	14.7	-2.91
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	16	-17	18.6	14.9	3.61	12.9	13.7	-0.82

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Spalding	6	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-7	-1	11.8	13.6	-1.72	20.2	15.7	4.49
Troy Daniels	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-9	3	15.1	12.7	2.40	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Jamal Crawford	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-11	7	12.8	14.1	-1.37	17.8	14.0	3.84
Deandre Ayton	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-10	5	13.3	13.9	-0.58	15.9	16.0	-0.14
De'Anthony Melton	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-5	-5	14.2	12.8	1.37	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Dragan Bender	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	14.5	12.3	2.19	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Josh Jackson	64	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-12	9	12.6	15.0	-2.42	16.5	14.8	1.66
Mikal Bridges	86	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	0	-15	13.3	14.3	-1.01	15.5	18.8	-3.30
Devin Booker	83	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	0	-15	13.2	14.8	-1.60	15.8	16.7	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 108, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.7%