NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	3.1 [1161]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +13.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.1 [1182]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -8.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	15	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	19	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
James Singleton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	6	73%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	62%	0.03	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	12	54%	0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.06	6	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	17	57%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	9	30%	-0.01	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	16	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	0.02	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	30.5	15.6	23.5	2.5	24.2	121.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.1%

MIN -5.3%

MIN -2.9%

DAL +3.7%

DAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.5	116.1	94.6	106.4
season	15.6	15.8		108.9	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.6	13.7	15.6	18.1	15.2
MIN	15.2	14.5	18.7	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.29	26	-6	32	14.9	15.7	-0.82	16.4	14.6	1.74
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	1	18	14.1	17.4	-3.32	16.1	15.2	0.92
Josh Howard	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	5	10	14.6	15.6	-1.08	17.5	14.5	3.05
Jason Kidd	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	12	-4	13.9	16.9	-3.08	16.1	15.4	0.61
James Singleton	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	2	16	15.1	15.2	-0.06	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Antoine Wright	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.33	19	1	18	15.3	15.0	0.39	15.4	16.3	-0.92
Erick Dampier	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	15	-10	13.9	16.5	-2.65	16.1	15.5	0.62
Jose Juan Barea	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	13	-6	15.6	14.6	0.98	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Brandon Bass	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	19	-18	17.4	14.1	3.32	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Matt Carroll	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	21.1	14.6	6.52	12.9	16.0	-3.19
Gerald Green	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	21.1	14.6	6.52	12.9	16.0	-3.19
Ryan Hollins	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	21.1	14.6	6.52	12.9	16.0	-3.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	3	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-23	26	15.7	15.8	-0.14	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Bobby Brown	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-17	14	14.7	16.2	-1.53	18.7	14.0	4.64
Mark Madsen	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-16	12	14.5	16.0	-1.46	17.1	14.9	2.17
Kevin Ollie	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-15	10	16.6	15.0	1.64	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Brian Cardinal	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-6	-8	15.2	16.3	-1.17	17.0	13.6	3.33
Sebastian Telfair	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-5	-10	15.6	16.2	-0.59	16.2	13.5	2.74
Rodney Carney	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-10	0	16.1	14.5	1.58	15.0	16.1	-1.16
Kevin Love	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	-7	-6	15.7	16.2	-0.55	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Mike Miller	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-1	-18	15.8	15.8	-0.02	14.0	19.1	-5.08
Ryan Gomes	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.14	-20	0	-20	16.3	14.6	1.65	13.9	18.3	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 95, CLE 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
UTA 132, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DEN 111, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%