NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	8.1 [301]		MVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): +42.4%
New York Knicks	124		Comeback	162.9 [8]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -33.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	6	67%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Johnathan Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	71%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	48%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.03	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	60%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,-0.34	0.04	-0.39	-0.01	26	51%	-0.28	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.42	0.42	0.19	0.25	0.02	11	87%	0.54	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.13
Kadeem Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.02	2	117%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.02	20	60%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	68%	0.11	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	87%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	62%	0.10	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	33.1	15.4	28.6	2.6	38.2	147.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +73.1%

NYK +10.7%

NYK +5.4%

LAL -37.6%

LAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	12.9	14.8	14.3	118.3	119.2	109.3
season	13.5	14.5		107.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.4	11.3	13.3	14.7	12.9
NYK	13.8	15.7	16.0	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	43	42	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.13	9	-10	19	12.6	13.2	-0.64	15.4	14.3	1.04
JaVale McGee	42	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-2	3	12.5	13.2	-0.69	14.5	14.9	-0.44
Reggie Bullock	45	45	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	1	-3	12.8	13.0	-0.23	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Moritz Wagner	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	6	-13	12.0	13.0	-1.04	13.7	14.9	-1.17
Rajon Rondo	63	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	10	-21	12.4	13.8	-1.36	14.7	14.9	-0.16
LeBron James	74	75	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.48	9	-10	19	13.6	11.4	2.20	15.0	14.1	0.91
Johnathan Williams	51	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.56	5	-6	11	13.5	12.4	1.06	15.2	14.3	0.83
Alex Caruso	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.67	7	-8	15	12.9	13.0	-0.12	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-2	3	13.0	12.8	0.23	15.1	14.4	0.71
Kyle Kuzma	72	72	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.54	-17	16	-33	13.0	12.7	0.26	14.2	15.9	-1.66

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	90	89	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.54	9	-8	17	15.1	12.9	2.20	12.6	14.7	-2.03
Kevin Knox	80	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.39	7	-6	13	14.3	16.4	-2.15	13.4	11.2	2.26
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.61	-1	2	-3	14.8	14.6	0.20	13.3	12.2	1.04
Emmanuel Mudiay	71	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.52	-2	3	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.49	13.4	12.1	1.30
Mario Hezonja	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.54	-5	6	-11	14.8	14.5	0.35	13.5	11.3	2.16
Lance Thomas	26	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	-5	11	14.5	14.8	-0.35	11.3	13.5	-2.16
Mitchell Robinson	35	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	-1	3	14.6	14.8	-0.20	12.2	13.3	-1.04
Kadeem Allen	37	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	4	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.26	11.8	13.6	-1.78
Allonzo Trier	34	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	9	-17	15.6	14.3	1.32	12.9	12.9	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.17,0.04,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.42,1	90.9%
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	90.7%
UTA 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1	90.5%