NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	8.5 [180]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +8.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	15.6 [142]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -34.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	19	49%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	15	52%	0.11	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.22	6	83%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.35	-0.04	-0.33	-0.03	12	64%	-0.18	7	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	53%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	8	59%	0.14	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.06
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.06	-0.02	18	40%	0.06	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	12	45%	-0.02	5	-0.20	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	0.2	29.1	15.0	27.1	2.5	36.8	140.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.4%

PHI +1.9%

LAC -16.8%

PHI +28.3%

PHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	15.5	92.6	94.7	106.4
season	15.7	15.5		100.7	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.1		105.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	13.4	17.3	16.7	15.7
PHI	12.3	17.2	14.0	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	22	20	0.34	-0.83	1.17	0.07	9	-10	19	14.6	16.0	-1.39	16.1	14.4	1.69
Paul Davis	19	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-7	13	12.8	16.4	-3.64	16.8	14.2	2.57
Ricky Davis	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	7	-15	16.3	15.3	1.06	13.2	15.9	-2.76
Jason Hart	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	8	-17	14.3	16.1	-1.81	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Baron Davis	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.59	8	-9	17	16.1	14.3	1.81	15.3	13.0	2.27
Eric Gordon	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.61	7	-8	15	15.3	16.3	-1.06	15.9	13.2	2.76
Al Thornton	95	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.7	0.0	15.71	14.8	0.0	14.77
Chris Kaman	82	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	16.2	12.5	3.76	14.7	15.1	-0.36
Marcus Camby	67	66	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.47	-15	14	-29	16.3	14.4	1.86	13.8	17.1	-3.28

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	57	59	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-10	21	13.2	17.1	-3.91	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Andre Iguodala	73	74	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.41	12	-11	23	14.0	17.6	-3.61	15.7	15.6	0.17
Elton Brand	80	81	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-8	17	14.1	18.7	-4.64	15.8	15.1	0.74
Andre Miller	79	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-8	17	14.2	17.9	-3.69	16.1	13.0	3.13
Thaddeus Young	81	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.56	-4	5	-9	15.1	12.7	2.41	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Theo Ratliff	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	1	-1	19.5	14.7	4.84	27.0	15.6	11.41
Lou Williams	15	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	9	-17	17.9	14.2	3.69	13.0	16.1	-3.13
Reggie Evans	14	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	9	-17	18.7	14.1	4.64	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Marreese Speights	29	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	9	-17	16.9	13.8	3.03	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Willie Green	40	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	9	-17	16.0	13.9	2.15	16.1	15.4	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	91.6%
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	91.2%
LAL 123, NYK 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.17,0.04,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,1	90.9%