NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	7.7 [298]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +15.8%
Utah Jazz	91		Comeback	8.9 [210]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -36.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	15	77%	0.24	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Terry Mills	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	11	52%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
John Crotty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	20	44%	-0.07	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Grant Hill	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.22,-0.36	-0.15	-0.24	-0.03	22	33%	-0.31	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.10	0.01	19	57%	0.13	2	-0.06	20	85%	0.07
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.13	17	37%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	7	47%	-0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.4	2.4	30.5	17.4	24.4	2.7	39.1	149.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.1%

UTA +1.2%

UTA +28.0%

UTA +4.6%

UTA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.2	98.9	104.6	101.7
season	14.1	16.3		104.2	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.4	13.9	15.2	18.1	15.3
UTA	15.0	18.2	20.0	17.9	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	61	61	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-7	10	14.7	16.7	-1.96	17.5	17.8	-0.27
John Crotty	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	5	-14	17.7	14.7	2.97	12.3	18.9	-6.62
Eric Montross	15	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	3	-10	16.5	15.1	1.48	15.1	18.2	-3.09
Michael Curry	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	1	-6	16.4	14.8	1.59	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Jerome Williams	30	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	3	-10	16.2	14.8	1.36	17.4	17.7	-0.31
Lindsey Hunter	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.50	5	-9	14	14.7	17.7	-2.97	18.9	12.3	6.62
Terry Mills	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.49	3	-7	10	15.2	15.8	-0.59	18.2	15.3	2.89
Grant Hill	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-2	0	14.9	17.9	-3.02	18.2	13.9	4.25
Jerry Stackhouse	73	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.48	-1	-3	2	15.3	15.2	0.13	17.4	18.7	-1.38

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	36	37	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-3	10	17.9	17.4	0.55	16.1	14.7	1.38
Jeff Hornacek	53	55	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	-1	6	18.2	16.7	1.50	15.1	15.7	-0.67
John Stockton	65	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	4	-4	18.6	14.8	3.81	15.0	16.2	-1.30
Karl Malone	70	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	17.6	17.8	-0.18	15.6	13.7	1.98
Bryon Russell	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.40	-1	5	-6	17.5	18.5	-0.99	15.4	14.2	1.25
Quincy Lewis	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-4	12	17.3	17.7	-0.36	16.1	15.1	1.01
Greg Ostertag	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	1	2	19.4	16.9	2.55	15.7	15.1	0.61
Howard Eisley	17	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	1	2	15.4	18.2	-2.75	16.6	15.0	1.62
Jacque Vaughn	31	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	7	-10	16.3	18.4	-2.12	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Olden Polynice	43	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.02	-5	9	-14	16.3	18.9	-2.51	13.8	16.7	-2.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 101, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.32,0.42,1	91.7%
BOS 107, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,1	91.3%
MEM 113, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,1	91.3%