NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	8.7 [216]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +24.2%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.2 [1088]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (DAL): -41.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	20	62%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.10	-0.01	4	112%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Iman Shumpert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	13	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	22%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Paul	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	11	35%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
James Harden	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	25	38%	-0.14	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	46%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	80%	0.07	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	16	46%	0.00	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	11	41%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.42	-0.42	-0.02	-0.39	0.01	13	58%	-0.27	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	31.8	13.8	25.4	1.8	25.2	126.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.0%

DAL -13.3%

DAL -9.3%

HOU +12.0%

HOU +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	14.3	98.9	97.9	109.3
season	14.8	14.7		114.0	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.4		109.7	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	13.8	15.5	19.3	15.7
DAL	12.9	13.8	17.2	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	73	74	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-9	19	15.5	16.4	-0.88	15.4	12.0	3.32
Eric Gordon	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-4	9	16.4	14.4	1.98	15.5	13.1	2.45
Chris Paul	68	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-2	5	15.5	16.2	-0.70	14.1	15.8	-1.69
James Harden	65	67	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-3	7	16.2	14.5	1.78	14.8	14.2	0.64
Clint Capela	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	4	-7	15.9	15.2	0.71	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Nene	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-3	7	15.2	15.9	-0.71	14.7	14.6	0.12
Iman Shumpert	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	3	-5	14.1	15.9	-1.83	11.7	15.1	-3.39
Austin Rivers	58	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	9	-17	14.7	17.2	-2.51	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Gerald Green	43	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	9	-17	16.3	15.2	1.04	14.3	14.9	-0.62

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	57	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.36	9	-10	19	14.7	14.5	0.26	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Jalen Brunson	69	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-14	27	14.0	16.2	-2.20	15.9	15.1	0.82
Dwight Powell	52	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.45	11	-12	23	14.0	15.3	-1.31	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Courtney Lee	5	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	6	-13	11.6	14.8	-3.20	11.7	16.0	-4.29
Dirk Nowitzki	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	8	-17	12.8	15.1	-2.29	12.7	16.3	-3.63
Devin Harris	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	4	-9	14.1	15.0	-0.83	16.1	15.4	0.72
Maxi Kleber	62	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-2	3	14.5	14.9	-0.47	15.8	15.5	0.30
Justin Jackson	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	10	-21	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.4	15.9	-0.54
Dorian Finney-Smith	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	1	-3	16.2	12.5	3.69	17.1	13.8	3.30
Luka Doncic	72	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	15.4	12.2	3.19	15.7	15.5	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.25,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, TOR 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.32,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	94.0%
CHI 113, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.24,0.13,0.31,0.45,0.23,0.27,0	92.2%
DET 78, HOU 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.22,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.1%