NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	7.7 [356]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): +29.3%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	24.7 [50]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -18.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	100%	0.15	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	23	46%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	16	55%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.02	33	47%	-0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.27,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.23	0.02	15	69%	0.36	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	14	53%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.09	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	15	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	-5.1	34.0	5.8	31.1	-5.0	39.0	123.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.8%

ORL +0.5%

ORL +1.2%

GSW -2.3%

GSW -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ORL	NBA	GSW	ORL	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.3	90.6	99.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.9		114.5	107.2
opponent	14.3	15.0		107.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	13.2	12.0	15.4	13.6
ORL	13.4	12.4	17.0	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Bell	30	30	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.15	6	-13	19	12.1	14.2	-2.04	14.2	13.7	0.46
Kevon Looney	18	16	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.01	6	-13	19	13.0	13.7	-0.72	14.1	13.8	0.27
Shaun Livingston	33	32	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-10	13	14.0	13.4	0.63	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Damion Lee	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-9	11	14.6	13.5	1.11	12.7	13.9	-1.28
Alfonzo McKinnie	51	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	14.4	12.8	1.61	14.5	13.3	1.20
Quinn Cook	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	1	-9	15.9	12.9	2.95	11.8	14.4	-2.58
Stephen Curry	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-8	9	12.9	15.9	-2.95	14.4	11.8	2.58
Klay Thompson	81	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	1	-9	13.6	13.7	-0.11	13.9	13.8	0.09
Jonas Jerebko	48	48	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.47	-6	-1	-5	12.4	14.6	-2.23	13.5	14.1	-0.59
Draymond Green	85	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.31	-12	5	-17	14.0	12.0	1.93	13.8	14.1	-0.32
DeMarcus Cousins	70	70	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.40	-16	9	-25	13.8	13.1	0.73	13.9	13.8	0.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	57	60	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-10	27	12.6	15.4	-2.82	14.3	12.6	1.74
Nikola Vucevic	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	1	5	14.6	12.5	2.06	13.1	14.4	-1.37
Aaron Gordon	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-7	21	13.8	13.9	-0.06	14.0	12.5	1.49
Evan Fournier	63	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	3	1	14.1	13.4	0.66	12.9	14.6	-1.66
D.J. Augustin	58	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	14.7	12.8	1.85	13.1	14.2	-1.03
Wes Iwundu	58	58	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	8	-9	13.6	14.1	-0.45	13.4	13.8	-0.44
Isaiah Briscoe	45	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	12.8	14.6	-1.75	14.2	13.1	1.03
Khem Birch	38	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	6	-5	12.5	14.6	-2.06	14.4	13.1	1.37
Jonathan Isaac	57	57	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.11	-13	20	-33	15.0	12.4	2.57	13.2	14.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.55,0.15,0.23,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 65, BOS 70	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.21,0.43,0.85,1	88.9%
BOS 104, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.58,1	88.8%
MIL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.57,0.77,1	88.7%