inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 119 Excitement5.0 [852] MVPLuke Kennard (DET): +14.3%
Miami Heat 96 Comeback2.8 [275] LVPDion Waiters (MIA): -9.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Kennard0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.02-0.001168%0.1400.00367%-0.01
Ish Smith0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.030.04992%0.223-0.09683%0.02
Langston Galloway0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.200.030.127113%0.1200.001100%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.011052%0.071-0.025100%0.03
Andre Drummond0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.01675%0.082-0.064100%0.02
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00650%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Thon Maker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.003100%0.043-0.0400%0.00
Jon Leuer0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bruce Brown-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Khyri Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Blake Griffin-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.011944%0.023-0.08757%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.03-0.05747%0.092-0.03580%0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.010.051659%0.051-0.02580%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.01-0.03440%0.0300.002100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00267%0.0200.00250%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031059%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Emanuel Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02267%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.04-0.011445%0.012-0.06560%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.01633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.050.031457%-0.004-0.09250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.533.87.031.01.827.8131.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +47.5%
DET +2.3%
DET +1.1%
MIA -5.7%
DET +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game14.715.614.3125.3101.1109.3
season15.314.8107.5106.3
opponent14.314.0106.7109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.912.914.016.314.7
MIA13.417.114.318.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kennard66670.55-0.050.60-0.2427-43114.615.0-0.3915.914.90.99
Zaza Pachulia32310.390.110.28-0.08167913.315.4-2.0815.015.9-0.88
Wayne Ellington50490.360.140.22-0.08158713.915.7-1.7916.015.20.76
Blake Griffin66650.360.140.22-0.262121914.515.3-0.8915.715.40.33
Ish Smith50520.350.150.19-0.242031714.515.0-0.5615.016.3-1.30
Langston Galloway32330.240.26-0.03-0.261761114.714.7-0.0116.315.21.09
Reggie Jackson45430.150.35-0.190.07320-1715.014.50.5616.315.01.30
Thon Maker29300.140.36-0.220.08221-1915.314.50.8915.415.7-0.33
Andre Drummond60600.110.39-0.28-0.15914-515.313.71.6915.515.8-0.33
Jon Leuer340.000.50-0.500.06-225-2717.014.72.3522.015.36.69
Glenn Robinson III330.000.50-0.500.06-225-2717.014.72.3515.015.6-0.61
Bruce Brown2826-0.040.54-0.580.08-427-3115.214.50.6414.815.9-1.08
Khyri Thomas1112-0.110.61-0.720.10-730-3717.514.43.1912.316.1-3.73

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Anderson540.00-0.500.50-0.031-242523.015.27.8216.714.62.11
Emanuel Terry540.00-0.500.50-0.031-242523.015.27.8216.714.62.11
Duncan Robinson2422-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-242516.815.21.6115.214.60.65
Rodney McGruder3131-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-211915.415.7-0.3515.114.50.55
Kelly Olynyk4849-0.16-0.340.190.05-7-16914.916.3-1.3614.814.70.06
Bam Adebayo3231-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-13313.816.5-2.6814.314.9-0.65
Goran Dragic3535-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-12113.916.6-2.7014.015.2-1.20
Dion Waiters6161-0.28-0.22-0.050.08-12-11-116.613.82.7515.114.01.18
Hassan Whiteside5860-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-9-515.915.10.8814.814.60.25
Derrick Jones Jr.5252-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-18-5-1316.015.10.9514.415.1-0.63
Josh Richardson7273-0.44-0.06-0.380.21-22-1-2115.216.7-1.5214.714.8-0.12
Dwyane Wade5253-0.44-0.06-0.380.21-22-1-2115.216.1-0.9614.515.1-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 85, MEM 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,094.4%
MEM 107, OKC 970.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,094.4%
BOS 110, DET 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%