NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	4.9 [859]		MVP	Daniel Theis (BOS): +19.3%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.8 [710]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -17.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.02	10	86%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.02	-0.07	13	54%	0.11	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	7	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Jaylen Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Al Horford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	-0.00	-0.02	11	83%	0.14	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	19	40%	-0.05	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.2	14.5	24.3	2.5	26.6	120.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.8%

DET -1.6%

DET -9.6%

BOS +7.6%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.7	113.4	103.2	107.5
season	15.1	14.9		106.4	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		106.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	13.9	14.5	14.8	14.6
DET	14.1	15.5	15.6	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	52	49	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.01	15	-3	18	14.9	14.3	0.55	16.3	14.4	1.87
Terry Rozier	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-3	18	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.0	14.8	1.25
Marcus Morris	49	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-3	18	14.9	14.3	0.67	16.5	14.4	2.13
Semi Ojeleye	38	37	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	4	4	15.4	14.1	1.29	16.4	14.8	1.56
Al Horford	51	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	0	12	14.8	14.4	0.41	16.2	14.5	1.67
Jaylen Brown	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	10	-8	14.0	15.3	-1.26	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Daniel Theis	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	6	0	13.9	15.2	-1.36	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Kyrie Irving	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	8	-4	14.1	15.4	-1.29	14.7	16.6	-1.95
Aron Baynes	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	12	-12	16.4	14.5	1.89	17.2	15.3	1.90
Abdel Nader	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	13.8	14.7	-0.85	12.2	15.5	-3.29
Greg Monroe	43	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.32	-12	24	-36	14.5	14.7	-0.17	13.4	16.9	-3.49
Jayson Tatum	42	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	14	-16	14.7	14.5	0.15	14.5	16.2	-1.67

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Moreland	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	12.0	15.6	-3.63	15.2	14.6	0.60
Dwight Buycks	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	12.2	15.5	-3.29	13.8	14.7	-0.85
Ish Smith	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-11	10	14.9	16.8	-1.92	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Stanley Johnson	60	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-9	6	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.2	15.3	-1.15
Blake Griffin	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.5	15.0	0.49	14.9	13.8	1.10
Andre Drummond	63	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-8	4	15.1	16.0	-0.86	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Luke Kennard	31	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	0	-12	16.3	15.0	1.37	15.7	14.1	1.66
Reggie Bullock	64	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-12	12	15.0	16.3	-1.37	14.1	15.7	-1.66
James Ennis III	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	16.4	14.8	1.58	15.3	14.2	1.15
Jameer Nelson	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	2	-16	17.6	14.7	2.86	16.5	14.0	2.46
Anthony Tolliver	51	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	3	-18	16.0	14.7	1.25	14.9	14.3	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.34,0.2,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 85, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.7%
VAN 100, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
TOR 93, PHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%